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Liga MXClausura - 8THE MATCH CENTRE

Mazatlán vs Pachuca match centre

Mazatlán badgeMazatlánHome · 16 in league
LLLWD
Momentum↗ Rising31/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Pachuca badgePachucaAway · 4 in league
DDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising79/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Dudu45+2′
Estadio de Mazatlan · MazatlanSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate94.7%Mazatlán
Draw5.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Pachuca
Another goal7.5%before full time

Next goal: Mazatlán 2.2% · no further goal 92.5% · Pachuca 5.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MazatlánPachuca
3Corner Kicks7
15Fouls21
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
244Total passes501
183Passes accurate427

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca18+531—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán18-1418—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mazatlán 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Pachuca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mazatlán

1/5Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Mazatlán’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Pachuca

4/7Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Pachuca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Pachuca

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results4 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mazatlán at home with Pachuca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

MazatlánPachuca
24Matches played26
18Points earned39
3Wins11
1.2Goals scored / match1.3
1.8Goals conceded / match1.1
1Clean sheets7
6Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mazatlán at home with Pachuca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mazatlán

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sergio Bueno
  1. 33R. RodriguezG
  2. 21S. SantosD
  3. 5F. AlmadaD
  4. 19L. MerollaD
  5. 4J. DiazD
  6. 11Y. BarcenasM
  7. 25S. Godinez
  8. 17J. OvalleM
  9. 14M. ZaletaM
  10. 15B. RubioF
  11. 7DuduF
Substitutes (10)

13 · V. A. Alcaraz Diaz

3 · R. Franco

16 · J. Esquivel

20 · M. Lainez

31 · A. A. Saavedra Nevarez

28 · D. Hernandez

9 · B. Arce

193 · G. Lopez

199 · I. Gonzalez

202 · A. Ben Rhouma

Pachuca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
  1. 25C. MorenoG
  2. 14C. SanchezD
  3. 4Eduardo BauermannD
  4. 2S. D. BarretoD
  5. 12B. A. Garcia CaprizoD
  6. 188S. Rodriguez
  7. 16C. RiveraM
  8. 18A. DominguezM
  9. 26A. BautistaM
  10. 11O. IdrissiM
  11. 23S. RondonF
Substitutes (10)

31 · J. Eulogio

13 · J. Berlanga

21 · R. Lopez

184 · C. Alfaro

8 · V. Guzman

5 · P. Pedraza

10 · E. Valencia

7 · L. Quinones

267 · C. Hernandez

29 · Kenedy

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mazatlán

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ricardo Rodríguez907.9—0—22—
Sebastián Santos756.6—04182
Facundo Almada907.5—1—262
Lucas Merolla907.6—03283
Jair Díaz907.0—0—25—
Yoel Bárcenas907.7—0—292
Said Godínez796.9—01331
Josué Ovalle626.6—01211
Mauro Zaleta906.9—01211
Brian Rubio796.3—0—22—
Dudu698.51026—
Mauro Laínez286.9—0—33
Jesús Hernández216.9—0—4—
José Joaquín Esquivel116.9—0—1—
Angel Saavedra116.6—0—1—
André Alcaraz———————
Ramiro Franco———————
Billy Arce———————
Gabriel Lopez———————
Ivan Gonzalez———————
Anwar Ben Rhouma Torres———————

Pachuca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Moreno907.2—0—21—
Carlos Sánchez807.3—0—506
Eduardo Bauermann907.3—01532
Sergio Barreto905.9—02522
Brian García906.7—0—70—
Sergio Rodríguez566.3—0—291
Christian Rivera907.9—0—643
Alexei Domínguez567.0—0—274
Alan Bautista456.6—0—41
Oussama Idrissi456.9—0—191
Salomón Rondón905.6—0323—
Enner Valencia456.9—02151
Luis Quiñones456.9—0—212
Víctor Guzmán347.3—0128—
Kenedy346.7—0—29—
Cristóbal Hernández106.3—0—12—
Jose Eulogio———————
René López———————
Cristobal Alfaro———————
Jorge Berlanga———————
Pedro Pedraza———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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