Dundalk
2/7Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Dundalk’s results
Premier DivisionMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREDundalk vs Sligo Rovers match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Horgan82′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate94.8%Dundalk
Draw5.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Sligo Rovers
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Dundalk 2.3% · no further goal 92.5% · Sligo Rovers 5.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.DundalkSligo Rovers
1.330Expected goals · API-Football0.440
3Shots on target2
11Total Shots13
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks6
11Fouls10
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
384Total passes389
260Passes accurate273
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier DivisionProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | +27 | 59 | — |
| 2 |  Shamrock Rovers | 31 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  Bohemians | 31 | +18 | 56 | — |
| 4 | Dundalk | 33 | -3 | 44 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 32 | +3 | 41 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 31 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Galway United | 31 | -6 | 37 | — |
| 8 |  Waterford | 32 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 32 | -13 | 34 | — |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 33 | -31 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Dundalk 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sligo Rovers 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sligo Rovers
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Sligo Rovers’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Dundalk
7 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Sligo Rovers
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Shamrock RoversHome · Premier Division0–2Drogheda UnitedHome · Premier Division2–1Galway UnitedAway · Premier Division0–1WaterfordAway · Premier Division0–0BohemiansHome · Premier Division0–4Derry CityAway · Premier Division1–2Finn HarpsHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Galway UnitedHome · Friendlies Clubs6–0UCDHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Treaty UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dundalk at home with Sligo Rovers away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier Division · 2026/27 · all league matches
DundalkSligo Rovers
6Matches played6
7Points earned4
1Wins1
1.9Goals scored / match0.5
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dundalk at home with Sligo Rovers away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Dundalk
1wins5MEETINGS
Sligo Rovers
3winsMar 2024 – Jul 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Dundalk first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Dundalk
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ciaran Kilduff
- 1
E. MinogueG - 31
J. WilsonD - 4
M. AnimasahunD - 2
C. O'KeeffeD - 3
B. BurnsD - 6
A. DervinM - 22
T. WilsonM - 27
D. McDaidM - 16
E. KennyM - 7
D. HorganM - 9
G. ArubiF
Substitutes (9)
20 · P. Cherrie
18 · K. Buckley
11 · R. Teahan
17 · S. Tracey
21 · D. Mullen
8 · H. Groome
5 · H. Warren
19 · S. Spaight
29 · T. Molloy
Sligo Rovers
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1John Russell
- 29
S. SargeantG - 33
J. EsuaD - 15
O. DenhamD - 52
G. McElroyD - 7
W. FitzgeraldD - 16
C. McHughM - 19
A. NolanM - 14
J. McManusM - 4
S. QuirkM - 28
R. O'KaneM - 11
C. KavanaghF
Substitutes (9)
1 · L. Hughes
6 · C. Harkin
24 · M. Traore
63 · G. Priosti
61 · C. Cannon
10 · A. Meekison
17 · S. McHale
51 · A. Gabbidon
23 · K. McDonagh
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Dundalk
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enda Minogue | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| John Ross Wilson | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Mayowa Animasahun | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Conor O'Keeffe | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 2 |
| Bobby Burns | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Aodh Dervin | 84 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 3 |
| Tyreke Wilson | 51 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Declan McDaid | 51 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Eoin Kenny | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 5 |
| Daryl Horgan | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| Gbemi Arubi | 64 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Keith Buckley | 39 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Danny Mullen | 39 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Harry Groome | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Harvey Warren | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Peter Cherrie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Spaight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Teahan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shane Tracey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TJ Molloy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sligo Rovers
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Sargeant | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Jeannot Esua | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Oliver Denham | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 3 |
| Gareth McElroy | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 51 | 1 |
| William Fitzgerald | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | — |
| Carl McHugh | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 3 |
| Alex Nolan | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| James McManus | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 67 | 2 |
| Seb Quirk | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Ryan O'Kane | 44 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Cian Kavanagh | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Archie Meekison | 46 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Mai Traore | 45 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Ciaron Harkin | 28 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Guilherme Rego Priosti | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Liam Hughes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean McHale | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aidan Gabbidon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle McDonagh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Cannon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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