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AllsvenskanMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF match centre

AIK Stockholm badgeAIK StockholmHome · 8 in league
LLWWD
Momentum↗ Rising51/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Malmo FF badgeMalmo FFAway · 7 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Botheim25′
Strawberry Arena · SolnaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%AIK Stockholm
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate95.2%Malmo FF
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: AIK Stockholm 4.8% · no further goal 91.8% · Malmo FF 3.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AIK StockholmMalmo FF
14Corner Kicks5
9Fouls10
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves8
410Total passes364
356Passes accurate299

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Allsvenskan

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Sirius22+2451—
2Hammarby FF22+2943—
3Djurgardens IF22+2641—
4IF Elfsborg22+937—
5BK Hacken22+936—
6Malmo FF23+536↑ 1
7Vasteras SK FK22-135↓ 1
8AIK Stockholm23-433—
9IFK Goteborg22-1032—
10Gais22+830—
11IF Brommapojkarna22-627—
12Mjallby AIF22-1122—
13Kalmar FF22-1519—
14Degerfors IF22-1519—
15Orgryte IS22-2415—
16Halmstad22-2414—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AIK Stockholm 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Malmo FF 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AIK Stockholm

5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AIK Stockholm’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Malmo FF

6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Malmo FF’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AIK Stockholm at home with Malmo FF away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Allsvenskan · 2026/27 · all league matches

AIK StockholmMalmo FF
4Matches played4
7Points earned7
2Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match1.8
1.3Goals conceded / match1.3
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AIK Stockholm at home with Malmo FF away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AIK Stockholm

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Jose Riveiro
  1. 15K. NordfeldtG
  2. 12C. PaveyD
  3. 33A. CsongvaiD
  4. 25I. CisseD
  5. 21S. WilsonD
  6. 18A. AliM
  7. 36Z. YohannaM
  8. 8J. HoveM
  9. 7A. MujanicM
  10. 10B. CelinaM
  11. 45T. AyariF
Substitutes (9)

30 · K. Joelsson

5 · L. Bergquist

9 · E. Flataker

16 · S. Gustafsson

4 · S. Papagiannopoulos

17 · M. Thychosen

11 · V. Andersson

29 · K. Filling

46 · Y. Geiger

Malmo FF

Confirmed formation4-4-2Miguel Ramirez
  1. 27J. DahlinG
  2. 17J. StrygerD
  3. 5A. DjuricD
  4. 19C. RoslerD
  5. 47T. LundberghD
  6. 22T. AliM
  7. 7O. RosengrenM
  8. 6Y. KarabelyovM
  9. 29S. HaksabanovicM
  10. 37A. SkogmarF
  11. 20E. BotheimF
Substitutes (9)

50 · W. Nieroth

40 · K. Busuladzic

44 · M. Palsson

24 · O. Sjostrand

10 · A. Christiansen

25 · Busanello

2 · J. Karlsson

32 · D. T. Gudjohnsen

28 · J. Milosavljevic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

AIK Stockholm

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kristoffer Nordfeldt907.2—0—30—
Charlie Pavey796.6—0—261
Áron Csongvai908.3—01681
Ibrahim Cissé906.9—02551
Stanley Wilson908.3—0—893
Abdihakin Ali796.6—01321
Zadok Yohanna907.3—04343
Johan Hove906.6—0129—
Amel Mujanić656.7—02301
Bersant Celina907.3—04441
Taha Ayari556.3—0—9—
Erik Flataker356.7—0—5—
Victor Andersson256.6—0—11—
Mads Dohr Thychosen116.6—0—31
Yannick Geiger116.7—0—9—
Kalle Joelsson———————
Lukas Bergquist———————
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos———————
Sixten Gustafsson———————
Kevin Filling———————

Malmo FF

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Johan Dahlin909.7—0—29—
Jens Stryger Larsen907.2—0—361
Andrej Đurić907.6—0—461
Colin Rösler907.2—0257—
Theodor Lundbergh907.3—0—364
Taha Abdi Ali686.5—0—22—
Otto Rosengren907.0—01321
Yanis Karabelyov747.5—01382
Sead Hakšabanović857.0—11303
Adrian Skogmar746.5—0—151
Erik Botheim857.510120—
Oscar Sjostrand226.5—0—51
Anders Christiansen167.0—0—42
Kenan Busuladžić166.7—0—3—
Busanello116.9—0—21
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen116.3—0—2—
William Nieroth Lundgren———————
Malte Palsson———————
Johan Karlsson———————
Jovan Milosavljević———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAIK StockholmDrawMalmo FF
Bet3652.503.252.80

Snapshot from 27 Apr 2026, 06:53 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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