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Super LeagueMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

FC Lugano vs FC Sion match centre

FC Lugano badgeFC LuganoHome · 3 in league
DDDWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
FC Sion badgeFC SionAway · 5 in league
DWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Steffen12′
K. Behrens62′
A. Kabacalman10′ (pen)
Stadio di Cornaredo · LuganoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.8%FC Lugano
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%FC Sion
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: FC Lugano 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · FC Sion 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC LuganoFC Sion
2Corner Kicks5
10Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
450Total passes380
392Passes accurate311

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Thun33+3874—
2FC ST. Gallen33+2460—
3FC Lugano34+1360—
4FC Basel 189333+653—
5FC Sion34+1552—
6BSC Young Boys33+548—
7FC Luzern33+340—
8Servette FC33040—
9Lausanne33-1039—
10FC Zurich33-1834—
11Grasshoppers33-2527—
12FC Winterthur33-5119—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Lugano 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Sion 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Lugano

3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect FC Lugano’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Sion

3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect FC Sion’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Lugano at home with FC Sion away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Super League · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC LuganoFC Sion
27Matches played27
46Points earned41
13Wins10
1.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.2Goals conceded / match1.1
7Clean sheets10
4Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Lugano at home with FC Sion away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Lugano

Confirmed formation3-5-2Mattia Croci-Torti
  1. 1A. SaipiG
  2. 6A. PapadopoulosD
  3. 17L. MaiD
  4. 3H. DelcroixD
  5. 21Y. CimignaniM
  6. 14A. KendouciM
  7. 8A. GrgicM
  8. 27D. Dos SantosM
  9. 46M. ZanottiM
  10. 11R. SteffenF
  11. 9G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes (9)

16 · D. von Ballmoos

91 · K. Behrens

2 · Z. Brault-Guillard

18 · H. Mahou

29 · M. Belhadj

4 · D. Kelvin

24 · E. Pihlstrom

10 · M. Bottani

44 · Joao Carbone

FC Sion

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Didier Tholot
  1. 1A. RacioppiG
  2. 14N. LavanchyD
  3. 28K. HajriziD
  4. 17J. KronigD
  5. 20N. HeftiD
  6. 8BaltazarM
  7. 88A. KabacalmanM
  8. 39J. LukembilaM
  9. 29T. BerdayesM
  10. 19F. SurdezM
  11. 33R. NivokaziF
Substitutes (9)

12 · F. Ruberto

6 · Marquinhos Cipriano

25 · L. Diack

5 · N. Sow

70 · B. Kololli

7 · Y. Chouaref

21 · L. Chipperfield

13 · W. Boteli

22 · A. Llukes

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Lugano

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Amir Saipi906.9—0—50—
Antonios Papadopoulos907.3—01542
Lars Lukas Mai907.7—0—652
Hannes Delcroix907.0—0—542
Yanis Cimignani896.7—0—37—
Ahmed Kendouci586.2—0—292
Anto Grgić906.6—0—451
Daniel Dos Santos Correia906.6—1—26—
Mattia Zanotti907.2—02333
Renato Steffen827.7101291
Georgios Koutsias586.3—0—8—
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud326.7—0192
Kevin Behrens327.3101132
Zachary Brault Guillard86.7—0—1—
Carbone1——0—1—
David von Ballmoos———————
Damian Kelvin———————
Elias Pihlström———————
Hicham Mahou———————
Mattia Bottani———————

FC Sion

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anthony Racioppi906.3—0—33—
Numa Lavanchy906.7—0—347
Kreshnik Hajrizi906.6—0—432
Jan Kronig906.6—0—471
Nias Hefti906.3—0—452
Baltazar Costa907.3—0—441
Ali Kabacalman737.010136—
Josias Lukembila596.0—0—111
Théo Berdayes726.6—01202
Franck Surdez596.9—0—183
Rilind Nivokazi736.5—0115—
Ylyas Chouaref316.0—0—61
Liam Scott Chipperfield316.7—0—15—
Benjamin Kololli186.3—0—16—
Adrien Llukes176.6—0—32
Winsley Boteli176.2—0———
Francesco Ruberto———————
Marquinhos Cipriano———————
Noé Sow———————
Lamine Diack———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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