Lillestrom
5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lillestrom’s results
EliteserienMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRELillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Karlsbakk4′ (pen)
G. Nyheim11′
C. Jebara76′
S. Drammeh90′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Lillestrom
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Sarpsborg 08 FF
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Lillestrom 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Sarpsborg 08 FF 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
2.480Expected goals · API-Football0.590
3Shots on target1
8Total Shots7
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks3
12Fouls11
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
373Total passes389
323Passes accurate323
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EliteserienProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | +34 | 50 | — |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | +34 | 50 | — |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | +11 | 38 | — |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | +12 | 36 | — |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 22 | +3 | 35 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 21 | +9 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Brann | 21 | +7 | 29 | — |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 21 | -7 | 28 | — |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | -9 | 25 | — |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 21 | -10 | 25 | — |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 21 | -6 | 23 | — |
| 12 |  Valerenga | 21 | -9 | 23 | — |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 21 | -15 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | -13 | 21 | — |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | -19 | 19 | — |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | -22 | 16 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lillestrom 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Sarpsborg 08 FF’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lillestrom
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sarpsborg 08 FF
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KFUM OsloAway · Eliteserien0–1TromsoHome · Eliteserien0–1RosenborgAway · Eliteserien1–2StartHome · Eliteserien1–1SandefjordAway · Eliteserien2–0FredrikstadAway · NM Cupen1–2Ham-KamHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2MossHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1SiriusAway · Friendlies Clubs3–2Osters IFHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lillestrom at home with Sarpsborg 08 FF away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eliteserien · 2026/27 · all league matches
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
5Matches played6
13Points earned5
4Wins1
1.8Goals scored / match0.9
0.4Goals conceded / match1.0
3Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lillestrom at home with Sarpsborg 08 FF away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lillestrom
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Hans Odegaard
- 12
P. DahlbergG - 2
L. RangerD - 28
R. GabrielsenD - 23
U. JenssenD - 3
S. OttesenD - 29
Y. IbrahimajM - 15
S. DrammehM - 8
M. KarlsbakkM - 14
G. NyheimM - 20
Felix VaM - 9
K. ArierhiF
Substitutes (9)
1 · S. Hagerup
4 · E. B. Garnas
5 · S. Foss
22 · J. Kitolano
11 · F. Elkaer
19 · C. Jebara
6 · H. Woxen
26 · Y. Paintsil
7 · L. Alperud
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Even Sel
- 87
L. OyG - 32
E. WichneD - 4
B. UtvikD - 2
M. KochD - 21
A. HiimD - 6
A. SherM - 8
S. ChristiansenM - 10
S. SorliM - 22
V. E. HalvorsenM - 11
D. KarlsbakkM - 14
J. BergetF
Substitutes (9)
17 · N. Williams
81 · M. Svenningsen Gronn
5 · M. Odegaard
12 · C. Niyukuri
33 · A. Nibe
26 · Chriso
18 · B. Gueye
50 · M. M. Eidal
54 · J. H. Skjoren
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lillestrom
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Lars Ranger | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 5 |
| Ruben Gabrielsen | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 2 |
| Ulrik Jenssen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Sturla Ottesen | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Ylldren Ibrahimaj | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 2 |
| Salieu Drammeh | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| Markus Karlsbakk | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 2 |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 |
| Felix Vá | 90 | 7.7 | — | 2 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Kparobo Arierhi | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Camil Jebara | 21 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Yaw Paintsil | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Harald Woxen | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Karl Linus Alperud | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Stephan Hagerup | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sander Moen Foss | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Espen Bjørnsen Garnås | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Kitolano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Elkær | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leander Øy | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Eirik Wichne | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 6 |
| Bjorn Utvik | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 69 | 1 |
| Menno Koch | 80 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Anders Hiim | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 4 |
| Aimar Sher | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| Sander Christiansen | 80 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Sondre Sörli | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Daniel Karlsbakk | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Jo Inge Berget | 60 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Andreas Hansen | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Noa Williams | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Magnar Odegaard | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Bop Guèye | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Jesper Holter Skjøren | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Magnus Mevik Eidal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claus Niyukuri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Kouakou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lillestrom | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
Snapshot from 2 May 2026, 23:42 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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