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EliteserienMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTRE

Molde vs Aalesund match centre

Molde badgeMoldeHome · 4 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Aalesund badgeAalesundAway · 14 in league
WLWLD
Momentum↘ Falling43/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Kristian Lonebu82′
Mathias Christensen7′
Isak Gabriel Skotheim44′
Aker Stadion · MoldeSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 14:24 UK.

Odds updated 19 Sep 13:08 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.36Our model 77.9%Market 69.2% Draw5.75Our model 12.8%Market 16.4% Away win6.50Our model 9.4%Market 14.5% Bet365 · Updated 19 Sep 13:08 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MoldeAalesund
9Corner Kicks6
20Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
556Total passes275
479Passes accurate190

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Molde 6 reported

S. DiopInactive
Reported out
S. HansenInjury
Reported out
E. HestadInjury
Reported out
V. HoffKnee Injury
Reported out
M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
H. StenevikInjury
Reported out

Aalesund 6 reported

O. GudmundssonYellow Cards
Reported out
H. HammerInjury
Reported out
A. KjelsenThigh Injury
Reported out
M. KristensenInjury
Reported out
P. NgongoSurgery
Reported out
J. SeehusenInjury
Reported out

Fetched 18 Sep, 21:34 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Molde

7/10Wins
3.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Molde’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Aalesund

2/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Aalesund’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Molde at home with Aalesund away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eliteserien · 2026/27 · all league matches

MoldeAalesund
20Matches played20
36Points earned18
11Wins3
2.2Goals scored / match1.6
1.5Goals conceded / match2.3
4Clean sheets1
2Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Molde at home with Aalesund away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

3 recorded meetings

Molde

1wins
1 draw

Aalesund

1wins

May 2023 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Molde first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Molde

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1S. Tjelmeland
  1. 22A. PosiadałaG
  2. 25M. LinnesD
  3. 6N. ØdegårdD
  4. 27F. DahlD
  5. 26S. KabiniD
  6. 10E. BreivikM
  7. 30D. DagaM
  8. 24Trent Toure Kone DohertyM
  9. 23S. GranaasM
  10. 21O. Spiten-NysæterM
  11. 9J. AbdulaiF
Substitutes (9)

28 · V. Bender

17 · M. Møller Dæhli

16 · S. Kilen

12 · P. Lervik

20 · K. Lonebu

8 · M. Løvik

52 · D. Sylte

11 · C. Zady Sery

55 · Ulrik Langlie Skrede

Aalesund

Confirmed formation5-3-2K. Rekdal
  1. 1Luca PodlechG
  2. 7K. NessøD
  3. 2M. AndresenD
  4. 28D. MbackeD
  5. 5A. Hammer KjelsenD
  6. 14U. CharlesD
  7. 21M. ChristensenM
  8. 18E. HagenM
  9. 15E. OsenbrochM
  10. 8I. SkotheimF
  11. 27H. M. ReedF
Substitutes (9)

4 · S. Haram

19 · S. Kartum

30 · S. K. Knutsen

26 · T. Larsen

17 · E. Myrlid

16 · J. Ørsahl

25 · U. Syversen

38 · T. Leikanger

22 · E. Engqvist

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Molde

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Abdulai906.200270
A. Posiadała906.9000280
C. Zady Sery456.5001401
D. Sylte00.000000
M. Løvik456.1000290
K. Lonebu197.210310
P. Lervik00.000000
S. Kilen116.200080
M. Møller Dæhli457.1000730
V. Bender00.000000
N. Ødegård906.4001965
M. Linnes716.4001402
Trent Toure Kone Doherty455.8002130
S. Kabini456.1000370
S. Granaas907.1002522
F. Dahl796.4000691
D. Daga906.6001392
E. Breivik906.6013423
O. Spiten-Nysæter455.9000160
Ulrik Langlie Skrede00.000000

Aalesund

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
I. Skotheim798.2102162
E. Engqvist00.000000
S. Haram116.300020
S. Kartum116.300041
S. K. Knutsen00.000000
T. Larsen00.000000
E. Myrlid116.700050
J. Ørsahl07.000000
U. Syversen00.000000
E. Osenbroch866.5001160
K. Nessø906.6000240
D. Mbacke906.2001321
A. Hammer Kjelsen797.0000262
E. Hagen906.0001211
M. Christensen907.3102353
U. Charles907.5013141
M. Andresen906.1000265
Luca Podlech907.0000480
T. Leikanger45.900010
H. M. Reed796.4002110
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eliteserien table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eliteserien. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Viking21162354203450
WWDWL
2Bodo/Glimt21162353193450
LWWWW
3Tromso21115540291138
WLLDL
4Molde21113744321236
LWWWW
5Rosenborg2110383930933
WWWLW
6Lillestrom2110292829-132
LWWLD
7Brann2192103932729
WLLDW
8Fredrikstad218492532-728
DDLWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FF216782429-525
LDDDL
10KFUM Oslo2174102535-1025
WWLLD
11Sandefjord2165102127-623
WLDDW
12Valerenga2165103443-923
DLDLD
13Ham-Kam2165102944-1523
LLLDL
14Aalesund214983346-1321
WLWLD
15Kristiansund BK2154122140-1919
LLWDL
16Start2144132244-2216
LWLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMoldeDrawAalesund
William Hill1.355.006.50
Bet3651.365.756.50
Marathonbet1.335.557.00
BetVictor1.305.507.00
Pinnacle1.345.777.74

Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 13:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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