F. AmbinaMuscle Injury
Reported out
EliteserienMatchweek 22THE MATCH CENTREValerenga vs Fredrikstad match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Sebastian Jarl76′
Solomon Owusu52′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 11:10 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 13:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ValerengaFredrikstad
1.550Expected goals · API-Football0.710
3Shots on target2
14Total Shots9
47%Ball Possession53%
9Corner Kicks5
8Fouls9
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
464Total passes545
370Passes accurate445
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Valerenga 2 reported
M. SjoengKnee Injury
Doubtful
Fredrikstad 2 reported
S. KvileKnee Injury
Reported out
J. NysveenInjury
DoubtfulFetched 20 Sep, 10:34 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Valerenga
4/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Valerenga’s resultsFredrikstad
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Fredrikstad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Valerenga
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game3.1
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fredrikstad
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Stjørdals-BlinkAway · NM Cupen1–0Sarpsborg 08 FFHome · Eliteserien1–1Bodo/GlimtHome · Eliteserien1–2LillestromAway · Eliteserien4–1Eidsvold IFAway · NM Cupen7–1Kristiansund BKHome · Eliteserien1–0StartAway · Eliteserien1–0SandefjordHome · Eliteserien1–0RosenborgAway · Eliteserien0–4Bodo/GlimtAway · Eliteserien0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Valerenga at home with Fredrikstad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eliteserien · 2026/27 · all league matches
ValerengaFredrikstad
20Matches played20
22Points earned27
6Wins8
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
2.1Goals conceded / match1.6
2Clean sheets3
7Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Valerenga at home with Fredrikstad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Valerenga
1wins5MEETINGS
Fredrikstad
2winsApr 2025 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Valerenga
Confirmed formation4-4-2J. Moesgaard
- 1
O. HedvallG - 3
H. SjåtilD - 4
A. Kiil OlsenD - 55
S. JarlD - 2
K. FinnssonD - 11
G. ZahidM - 15
O. HolmM - 10
C. LangeM - 77
L. HarenM - 17
M. GrundetjernF - 7
H. NielsenF
Substitutes (9)
26 · D. Gjengaar
13 · S. Lønning
37 · I. Näsberg
9 · G. Rajkovic
19 · E. Rashani
90 · O. Saeter
24 · P. Strand
5 · K. Tshiembe
28 · M. Westergaard
Fredrikstad
Confirmed formation3-4-3Casper Röjkjaer
- 77
M. BørsheimG - 38
I. AmundsenD - 4
F. HolméD - 28
S. OwusuD - 16
D. EidM - 6
S. Leach HolmM - 14
M. NilssonM - 13
S. SørløkkM - 7
B. ThoresenF - 23
H. SkogvoldF - 18
B. FiabemaF
Substitutes (9)
10 · J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
5 · S. Rafn
37 · O. Skari Hansen
30 · J. Torkildsen
11 · L. West
9 · S. Laghzaoui
21 · J. Jezierski
19 · F. Ghebreyohannes
12 · U. Fredriksen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fredrikstad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sørløkk | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 55 | 1 |
| I. Amundsen | 82 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| D. Eid | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 1 |
| B. Thoresen | 84 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 4 |
| B. Fiabema | 61 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| F. Holmé | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 0 |
| S. Leach Holm | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 3 |
| M. Nilsson | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 4 |
| S. Owusu | 69 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 64 | 0 |
| H. Skogvold | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| M. Børsheim | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 1 |
| U. Fredriksen | 21 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| F. Ghebreyohannes | 6 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| J. Jezierski | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Laghzaoui | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Rafn | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Skari Hansen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Torkildsen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. West | 29 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Valerenga
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Zahid | 73 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1 |
| K. Finnsson | 55 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| M. Grundetjern | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| L. Haren | 84 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| O. Holm | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 |
| S. Jarl | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 0 |
| C. Lange | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 3 |
| H. Nielsen | 55 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| A. Kiil Olsen | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 4 |
| H. Sjåtil | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 2 |
| O. Hedvall | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| D. Gjengaar | 35 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| S. Lønning | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Näsberg | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Rajkovic | 17 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| E. Rashani | 6 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| O. Saeter | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Strand | 35 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| K. Tshiembe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Westergaard | 45 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 2 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eliteserien table
Current standings · Eliteserien. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 50 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 50 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 36 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 | LWWLD |
| 7 |  Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 29 | WLLDW |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 | LDDDL |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 | WWLLD |
| 11 |  Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | WLDDW |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 | WLWLD |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 | LWLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Valerenga | Draw | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.78 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 13:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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