Arsenal
4/6Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Arsenal’s results
League CupSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREArsenal vs Chelsea match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Havertz90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ArsenalChelsea
Expected goals · API-Football
2Shots on target2
5Total Shots14
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
14Fouls12
0Yellow Cards3
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves1
407Total passes513
346Passes accurate461
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Arsenal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Chelsea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Chelsea
5/7Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Arsenal
6 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Chelsea
7 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arsenal at home with Chelsea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
ArsenalChelsea
4Matches played4
12Points earned9
4Wins3
2.3Goals scored / match2.8
0.8Goals conceded / match2.0
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arsenal at home with Chelsea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Arsenal
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mikel Arteta
- 13
K. Arrizabalaga - 12
J. Timber - 2
W. Saliba - 6
Gabriel - 5
P. Hincapie - 10
E. Eze - 36
M. Zubimendi - 41
D. Rice - 20
N. Madueke - 14
V. Gyökeres - 11
G. Martinelli
Substitutes (9)
1 · D. Raya
3 · C. Mosquera
4 · B. White
9 · Gabriel Jesus
16 · C. Norgaard
19 · L. Trossard
29 · K. Havertz
33 · R. Calafiori
49 · M. Lewis-Skelly
Chelsea
Confirmed formation3-5-2Liam Rosenior
- 1
R. Sanchez - 29
W. Fofana - 23
T. Chalobah - 21
J. Hato - 27
M. Gusto - 25
M. Caicedo - 17
Andrey Santos - 8
E. Fernandez - 3
M. Cucurella - 9
L. Delap - 20
Joao Pedro
Substitutes (9)
28 · T. Sharman-Lowe
34 · J. Acheampong
5 · B. Badiashile
75 · C. Holland
10 · C. Palmer
41 · Estêvão
49 · A. Garnacho
38 · M. Guiu
62 · S. Mheuka
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Jurriën Timber | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| William Saliba | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 2 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 2 |
| Piero Hincapié | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 5 |
| Eberechi Eze | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Declan Rice | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Noni Madueke | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Leandro Trossard | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Kai Havertz | 21 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| David Raya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben White | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Nørgaard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Wesley Fofana | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 51 | — |
| Trevoh Chalobah | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 84 | 1 |
| Jorrel Hato | 60 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Malo Gusto | 87 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Andrey Santos | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Enzo Fernández | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 58 | 1 |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Liam Delap | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| João Pedro | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Cole Palmer | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Estêvão | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Josh Acheampong | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Teddy Sharman-Lowe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benoît Badiashile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Holland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Guiu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shumaira Mheuka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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