Likeliest match result
Atletico DE Rafaela to win41.6% market implied
Stored odds 2.27 · Betano
Primera NacionalMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREAtletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Garcia25′ (og)
M. Quiroga90′
F. Alvarez41′
B. Rivero71′
L. Galeano81′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance73.5%
Best stored price1.30Bet365
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 76.9%.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals66.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.46 · 1xBet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No58.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.60 · Betfair
Double chance
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw73.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.30 · Bet365
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 4 Oct 21:07 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Atletico DE RafaelaAtlanta
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atlanta 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico DE Rafaela
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico DE Rafaela’s resultsAtlanta
5/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atlanta’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico DE Rafaela
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Gimnasia Y TiroAway · Primera Nacional0–1San Martin TucumanHome · Primera Nacional4–2Gimnasia JujuyAway · Primera Nacional1–2AgropecuarioAway · Primera Nacional0–2Tristan SuarezHome · Primera Nacional2–1Club Atlético GüemesAway · Primera Nacional0–0Defensores De BelgranoHome · Primera Nacional0–0Chacarita JuniorsHome · Primera Nacional1–0San Martin S.J.Away · Primera Nacional1–1Nueva ChicagoHome · Primera Nacional1–0
Atlanta
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AgropecuarioHome · Primera Nacional1–0Tristan SuarezAway · Primera Nacional0–0Club Atlético GüemesHome · Primera Nacional2–0Chacarita JuniorsAway · Primera Nacional1–0San Martin S.J.Home · Primera Nacional0–1PatronatoAway · Primera Nacional0–2Nueva ChicagoAway · Primera Nacional1–0Ferro Carril OesteAway · Primera Nacional1–3TemperleyHome · Primera Nacional1–0Deportivo MaipuAway · Primera Nacional2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico DE Rafaela at home with Atlanta away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 5 Oct, 00:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera Nacional · 2026/27 · all league matches
Atletico DE RafaelaAtlanta
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico DE Rafaela at home with Atlanta away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Atletico DE Rafaela
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Atlanta
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera Nacional table
Current standings · Group 2. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 54 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 53 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 53 | DWWDD |
| 4 | Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 5 |  Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 47 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 45 | WDLWW |
| 7 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 45 | LDWWL |
| 8 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 41 | DDDLW |
| 10 |  Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 40 | LWLWW |
| 11 |  San Martin Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 | LWLDW |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 36 | WLWDL |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 35 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 35 | LDLWD |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 33 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 31 | DDDLW |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 30 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 23 | LLLDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico DE Rafaela | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 2.76 | 3.38 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | 2.99 | 3.73 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.73 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 4 Oct 2026, 21:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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