Concepción
1/6Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Concepción’s results
Primera DivisiónMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREConcepción vs Nublense match centre
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Graciani29′
D. Sanhueza88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Concepción
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Nublense
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Concepción 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Nublense 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.ConcepciónNublense
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target6
7Total Shots13
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks4
13Fouls6
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
395Total passes302
323Passes accurate230
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 23 | +26 | 54 | — |
| 2 |  U. Catolica | 23 | +17 | 42 | — |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 23 | +16 | 42 | — |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 23 | +12 | 36 | — |
| 5 |  Palestino | 23 | +3 | 36 | — |
| 6 |  Nublense | 24 | -1 | 35 | ↑ 1 |
| 7 |  Deportes Limache | 23 | +8 | 33 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | -3 | 31 | — |
| 9 |  D. La Serena | 23 | -4 | 30 | — |
| 10 |  Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 0 | 29 | — |
| 11 |  A. Italiano | 23 | -5 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  O'Higgins | 23 | -8 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Huachipato | 21 | -10 | 25 | — |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 23 | -10 | 24 | — |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | -20 | 22 | — |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 23 | -21 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Concepción 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Nublense 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nublense
2/5Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Nublense’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Concepción
6 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals2 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Nublense
5 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals1 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Concepción at home with Nublense away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
ConcepciónNublense
5Matches played5
4Points earned8
1Wins2
0.8Goals scored / match1.0
1.4Goals conceded / match0.8
1Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Concepción at home with Nublense away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Concepción
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Patricio Almendra
- 1
CesarG - 4
A. CaceresD - 21
N. RodriguezD - 3
D. CarrascoD - 23
J. RojasD - 27
N. SepulvedaM - 17
I. S. Mesias GonzalezM - 20
J. HenriquezM - 10
L. Valencia RosselM - 22
M. Davila CarvajalM - 32
J. LarriveyF
Substitutes (9)
25 · N. Araya
16 · M. Sandoval
18 · Y. Rodriguez
13 · C. Suarez
9 · C. Escobar
24 · M. Cavalleri
19 · A. Jara
30 · E. Espinoza
7 · A. Gillard
Nublense
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jose Ribera Juan
- 1
N. PerezG - 5
F. Campos MosqueiraD - 4
O. Bosso TorresD - 15
S. ValenciaD - 8
G. GracianiM - 21
L. ReyesM - 28
M. RiveraM - 14
J. CampusanoM - 7
F. OvelarF - 29
G. AvalosF - 20
I. JeraldinoF
Substitutes (9)
25 · H. Munoz
10 · M. Plaza
13 · D. Saavedra
11 · L. Molina Canto
3 · C. Salomon
23 · J. Gonzalez
16 · D. Sanhueza
22 · A. Valdes
9 · F. Rami
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Concepción
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Dutra | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Ariel Cáceres | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Norman Rodríguez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | — |
| Diego Carrasco | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 2 |
| Javier Rojas | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Nelson Sepúlveda | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Ignacio Mesías | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Jorge Henríquez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | — |
| Leonardo Valencia | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Misael Dávila | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Joaquín Larrivey | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Yonathan Rodríguez | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 |
| Ethan Espinoza | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Aldrix Jara | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Ángel Gillard | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Nicolás Araya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristián Suárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Cavalleri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Escobar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nublense
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicola Pérez | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Felipe Campos | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 2 |
| Osvaldo Bosso | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Sebastián Valencia | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Gabriel Graciani | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | — |
| Lorenzo Reyes | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | — |
| Manuel Rivera | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1 |
| Jovany Campusano | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Fernando Ovelar | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Giovanny Avalos | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Ignacio Jeraldino | 75 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Diego Sanhueza | 21 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Matías Plaza | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Franco Rami | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Alex Valdés | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Hernán Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Salomón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Saavedra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Molina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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