Universidad de Chile
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Universidad de Chile’s results
Primera DivisiónMatchweek 11THE MATCH CENTREUniversidad de Chile vs U. Catolica match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Lucero16′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.0%Universidad de Chile
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%U. Catolica
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Universidad de Chile 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · U. Catolica 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Universidad de ChileU. Catolica
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target4
13Total Shots7
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks3
9Fouls13
4Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
339Total passes385
252Passes accurate294
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 23 | +26 | 54 | — |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | +17 | 45 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  U. Catolica | 24 | +16 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 23 | +12 | 36 | — |
| 5 |  Palestino | 23 | +3 | 36 | — |
| 6 |  Deportes Limache | 23 | +8 | 33 | — |
| 7 |  Nublense | 23 | -3 | 32 | — |
| 8 |  Concepción | 23 | -1 | 31 | — |
| 9 |  D. La Serena | 23 | -4 | 30 | — |
| 10 |  Coquimbo Unido | 22 | 0 | 29 | — |
| 11 |  A. Italiano | 23 | -5 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  O'Higgins | 23 | -8 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Huachipato | 21 | -10 | 25 | — |
| 14 |  Cobresal | 23 | -10 | 24 | — |
| 15 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | -20 | 22 | — |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 23 | -21 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Universidad de Chile 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
U. Catolica 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
U. Catolica
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect U. Catolica’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Universidad de Chile
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Everton de VinaAway · Primera División0–0NublenseAway · Primera División0–1D. La SerenaHome · Primera División4–0Union La CaleraHome · Copa De La Liga0–1Coquimbo UnidoAway · Primera División1–0Universidad de ConcepcionHome · Primera División1–1Colo ColoAway · Primera División1–0Deportes LimacheHome · Primera División2–2PalestinoAway · Primera División0–0HuachipatoAway · Primera División1–2
U. Catolica
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Union La CaleraHome · Primera División1–2CruzeiroAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores2–1A. ItalianoAway · Primera División4–3Boca JuniorsHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–2PalestinoHome · Primera División6–1NublenseAway · Copa De La Liga0–1Universidad de ConcepcionHome · Copa De La Liga2–1Everton de VinaHome · Primera División2–2O'HigginsAway · Primera División0–1NublenseAway · Primera División2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Universidad de Chile at home with U. Catolica away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches
Universidad de ChileU. Catolica
10Matches played10
14Points earned17
3Wins5
1.0Goals scored / match2.4
0.6Goals conceded / match1.6
6Clean sheets1
4Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Universidad de Chile at home with U. Catolica away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Universidad de Chile
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fernando Gago
- 25
G. CastellonG - 17
F. HormazabalD - 22
M. ZaldiviaD - 5
N. RamirezD - 14
M. MoralesD - 29
L. BarreraM - 28
A. ArceM - 7
M. G. Guerrero PenaM - 8
I. E. Poblete ZunigaM - 23
I. A. Vasquez GonzalezM - 18
J. LuceroF
Substitutes (9)
1 · C. Toselli
20 · C. Aranguiz
19 · J. Altamirano
6 · N. Fernandez
34 · V. Ramirez
21 · M. Diaz
2 · F. Calderon
10 · L. Assadi
4 · D. Vargas
U. Catolica
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Daniel Garnero
- 1
V. Bernedo - 2
D. Gonzalez - 19
B. AmpueroD - 26
J. DiazD - 3
E. MenaD - 20
J. ValenciaM - 7
J. GianiM - 10
M. PalavecinoM - 14
J. A. MartinezM - 15
C. CuevasM - 9
F. ZampedriF
Substitutes (9)
27 · D. Melo
13 · A. Canales
25 · D. Corral
18 · J. Rossel
5 · A. Farias
8 · F. Zuqui
22 · M. Gomez
6 · S. Arancibia
44 · J. Salas
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Universidad de Chile
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Castellón | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Fabián Hormazábal | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Matías Zaldivia | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Nicolás Ramírez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Marcelo Morales | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | — |
| Israel Poblete | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Lucas Barrera | 81 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 33 | — |
| Maximiliano Guerrero | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Agustín Arce | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 29 | — |
| Ignacio Vásquez | 81 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Juan Martin Lucero | 89 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Charles Aránguiz | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Franco Calderón | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Lucas Assadi | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Javier Altamirano | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Cristopher Toselli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vicente Ramírez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
U. Catolica
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Bernedo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Daniel González | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 5 |
| Branco Ampuero | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 59 | — |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Eugenio Mena | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jhojan Valencia | 79 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Justo Giani | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
| Matías Palavecino | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Jimmy Martínez | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Cristian Cuevas | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Fernando Zampedri | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Sebastián Arancibia | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 4 |
| Fernando Zuqui | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Alfred Canales | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Juan Francisco Rossel | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Dario Melo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Salas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Corral | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Farías | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Universidad de Chile | Draw | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 24 Apr 2026, 14:36 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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