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Concepción vs A. Italiano match centre

Concepción badgeConcepciónHome · 8 in league
WWWDW
Momentum↘ Falling85/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
A. Italiano badgeA. ItalianoAway · 11 in league
WDDDL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
César Pinares17′
Estadio Ester RoaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
ConcepciónA. Italiano
9Corner Kicks2
9Fouls16
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
481Total passes251
385Passes accurate164

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Concepción 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

A. Italiano 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Concepción

8/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Concepción’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

A. Italiano

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect A. Italiano’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Concepción at home with A. Italiano away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

ConcepciónA. Italiano
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Concepción at home with A. Italiano away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Concepción

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Fernando Díaz
  1. 25N. ArayaG
  2. 18Y. RodríguezD
  3. 21N. RodríguezD
  4. 37F. GrilloD
  5. 23C. RiquelmeD
  6. 8F. MartínezM
  7. 16M. SandovalM
  8. 31Nicolas FuentesM
  9. 20J. HenríquezM
  10. 30E. EspinozaM
  11. 32J. LarriveyF
Substitutes (9)

7 · F. Romero

12 · N. Veloso

3 · D. Carrasco

24 · M. Cavalleri

22 · M. Dávila

9 · C. Escobar

19 · A. Jara

15 · J. Montecinos

29 · D. Varas

A. Italiano

Confirmed formation4-4-2P. Graff
  1. 1T. AhumadaG
  2. 35R. RebolledoD
  3. 13E. FerrarioD
  4. 4D. PiñaD
  5. 3F. SalomoniD
  6. 7P. GuajardoM
  7. 28F. MateosM
  8. 19C. PinaresM
  9. 21G. ChiaveranoM
  10. 11F. TroyanskyF
  11. 9D. CoelhoF
Substitutes (9)

27 · M. Fuentes

25 · P. Garrido

17 · F. Loyola

29 · M. Ortiz

22 · D. Pizarro

6 · M. Sandoval

30 · A. Uribe

8 · M. Collao

2 · V. Zenteno

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Concepción

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
F. Romero346.700160
J. Montecinos456.400081
A. Jara456.7001190
C. Escobar216.300040
M. Dávila216.3000190
M. Cavalleri00.000000
D. Carrasco00.000000
N. Araya906.5000120
Nicolas Fuentes456.2002140
N. Rodríguez907.1005813
F. Grillo745.4004480
C. Riquelme906.1000610
Y. Rodríguez696.5002331
F. Martínez456.0000251
M. Sandoval906.8001745
J. Henríquez567.1000291
E. Espinoza696.7001322
J. Larrivey906.4003160
N. Veloso00.000000
D. Varas00.000000

A. Italiano

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
V. Zenteno00.000000
M. Collao457.0001102
M. Fuentes00.000000
P. Garrido00.000000
F. Loyola00.000000
M. Ortiz67.000030
D. Pizarro10.000020
M. Sandoval266.600050
A. Uribe00.000000
T. Ahumada907.8000320
R. Rebolledo907.6000217
E. Ferrario907.2000181
D. Piña907.1001180
F. Salomoni906.9000201
P. Guajardo646.800271
F. Mateos457.2001173
C. Pinares908.2102271
G. Chiaverano906.9001183
F. Troyansky846.5002300
D. Coelho897.3011232
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primera División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primera División. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Colo Colo23173348222654
DDWWD
2U. Catolica23133750331742
WWWWL
3Universidad de Chile23126535191642
WWLLW
4Everton de Vina23106737251236
WLWWD
5Palestino2311393633336
LWLWW
6Deportes Limache23103104335833
LWWLW
7Nublense238872831-332
LLLLW
8Concepción2394102526-131
DLWDW
9D. La Serena237973438-430
LWWDW
10Coquimbo Unido228593131029
LLLWL
11A. Italiano237792631-528
WWLDD
12O'Higgins2383122836-827
LWLLD
13Huachipato2174102939-1025
WDLLL
14Cobresal2373133444-1024
WLWDL
15Universidad de Concepcion2264121737-2022
LLWLL
16Union La Calera2345141940-2117
WLLDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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