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K League 1Matchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Incheon United vs FC Seoul match centre

Incheon United badgeIncheon UnitedHome · 9 in league
LDLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
FC Seoul badgeFC SeoulAway · 1 in league
WLDLD
Momentum↘ Falling29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
S. Mugosa90+2′ (pen)
Song Min-Kyu47′
Cho Young-Wook61′
Sungui Arena Park · IncheonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Incheon United
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate95.5%FC Seoul
Another goal7.1%before full time

Next goal: Incheon United 4.5% · no further goal 92.9% · FC Seoul 2.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Incheon UnitedFC Seoul
6Corner Kicks3
14Fouls17
0Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
406Total passes342
332Passes accurate276

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

K-League

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Seoul31+3265—
2Ulsan Hyundai FC30+547—
3Jeju United FC30+646—
4Jeonbuk Motors30+1044—
5Gangwon FC29+842—
6Daejeon Citizen30+940—
7Pohang Steelers30-640—
8Incheon United30+238↑ 1
9FC Anyang30-938↓ 1
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC30-633—
11Bucheon FC 199530-932—
12Gwangju FC30-4215—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Incheon United 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Seoul 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Seoul

1/5Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect FC Seoul’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Incheon United at home with FC Seoul away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:38 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

K League 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches

Incheon UnitedFC Seoul
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Incheon United at home with FC Seoul away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Incheon United

Confirmed formation4-4-2Jong-Hwan Yoon
  1. 1Kim Dong-HeonG
  2. 39Kim Myung-soonD
  3. 4Kim Gun-HeeD
  4. 2IbizaD
  5. 32Lee Ju-YongD
  6. 11GersoM
  7. 8I. UndabarrenaM
  8. 15Seo Jae-MinM
  9. 7H. OhM
  10. 9S. MugosaF
  11. 77Park Seung-HoF
Substitutes (9)

21 · Lee Tae-Hui

13 · Choi Seung-gu

20 · Park Kyung-sub

27 · Yeo Seung-Won

23 · Jeong Chi-In

72 · Lee Chung-Yong

5 · Lee Myoung-Joo

10 · Lee Dong-Ryul

19 · Park Ho-Min

FC Seoul

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gi-Dong Kim
  1. 25Gu Sung-YunG
  2. 16Choi JunD
  3. 40Park Seong-hunD
  4. 37J. RosD
  5. 22Kim Jin-SuD
  6. 42J. SonM
  7. 6H. BabecM
  8. 10Anderson OliveiraM
  9. 18Cho Young-WookM
  10. 34Song Min-KyuM
  11. 9P. KlimalaF
Substitutes (9)

31 · Kang Hyeon-Mu

20 · Lee Han-Do

66 · Park Soo-Il

41 · Hwang Do-Yun

7 · Jeong Seung-Won

8 · Lee Seung-Mo

11 · L. Ruiz

27 · Moon Seon-Min

99 · S. Gbato

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Incheon United

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Dong-heon Kim906.6—0—38—
Kim Myung-Sun856.0—0—282
Gun-hee Kim906.9—0—591
Juan Ibiza906.2—0—75—
Ju-yong Lee906.3—0—513
Gerso Fernandes856.6—01151
Iker Undabarrena636.5—0—282
Jae-min Seo906.9—0—433
Hu-sung Oh726.9—0—171
Stefan Mugoša907.2102101
Park Seung-ho636.3—048—
Chung-yong Lee276.5—0—10—
Myung Joo Lee276.9—0162
Chi-in Jeong186.9—0—9—
Seung-won Yeo5——0—42
Park Ho-min5——0—5—
Lee Tae Hui———————
Choi Seung-Gu———————
Park Kyung-sub———————
Dong-ryul Lee———————

FC Seoul

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Sung-Yun Gu906.3—0—28—
Jun Choi906.9—0—414
Seong-hun Park906.0—0—421
Juan Antonio Ros906.7—01542
Jin-su Kim907.0—0—493
Son Jeong-beom456.9—0—133
Hrvoje Babec786.2—0—323
Anderson Oliveira897.0—11262
Cho Young Wook828.0103181
Min-kyu Song737.31029—
Patryk Klimala456.3—031—
Seung-mo Lee456.3—0—172
Leonardo Ruiz456.3—0—6—
Seung-Won Jeong176.2—0—3—
Hwang Do-yoon86.2—0—2—
Han-do Lee1——0—1—
Hyeon-mu Kang———————
Soo-il Park———————
Seon-min Moon———————
Gbato Seloh Samuel———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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