Incheon United
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Incheon United’s results
K League 1Matchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREIncheon United vs Daejeon Citizen match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Morgan Ferrier35′
Kang Yun-sung90+2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 10:52 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 09:27 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target4
6Total Shots5
49%Ball Possession51%
1Corner Kicks3
—Fouls—
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Incheon United 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Daejeon Citizen 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 10:42 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Daejeon Citizen
7/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Daejeon Citizen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Incheon United
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ulsan Hyundai FCAway · K League 11–2Bucheon FC 1995Home · K League 12–1FC SeoulAway · K League 10–1Jeonbuk MotorsHome · K League 11–1FC AnyangAway · K League 11–2Gwangju FCAway · K League 11–0Gimcheon Sangmu FCHome · K League 11–1Jeju United FCAway · K League 13–3Gimpo CitizenAway · FA Cup0–1Bucheon FC 1995Home · K League 11–1
Daejeon Citizen
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Kyoto SangaHome · AFC Champions League Elite1–0Pohang SteelersHome · K League 12–2FC AnyangHome · K League 13–2Bucheon FC 1995Away · K League 15–0Jeju United FCAway · K League 11–3Ulsan Hyundai FCHome · K League 12–1Gangwon FCHome · K League 13–0Asan MugunghwaAway · FA Cup3–2FC SeoulAway · K League 12–4FC AnyangAway · K League 12–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Incheon United at home with Daejeon Citizen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:34 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
K League 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
28Matches played29
37Points earned39
10Wins10
1.3Goals scored / match1.6
1.1Goals conceded / match1.2
7Clean sheets8
6Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Incheon United at home with Daejeon Citizen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Incheon United
1wins5MEETINGS
Daejeon Citizen
3winsMay 2024 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Incheon United
Confirmed formation4-4-2Jong-hwan Yoon
- 1
Kim Dong-HeonG - 39
Kim Myung-SunD - 4
Kim Geon-HuiD - 2
Juan FernándezD - 32
Lee Ju-YongD - 72
Lee Chung-YongM - 15
Seo Jae-MinM - 5
Lee Myung-JooM - 70
Leandro RibeiroM - 9
S. MugošaF - 99
M. FerrierF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Choi Seung-Gu
11 · Gerso
23 · Jeong Chi-In
17 · Kim Seong-Min
28 · Kim Yeonsoo
30 · Kim Young-Whan
3 · Lee Sang-Gi
21 · Lee Tae-Hui
26 · Lee Min-Hyeok
Daejeon Citizen
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hwang Sun-Hong
- 1
Lee Chang-GeunG - 6
Kang Yun-SungD - 45
Ha Chang-RaeD - 98
A. KrivotsyukD - 16
Lee Myung-JaeD - 44
Lee Soon-MinM - 8
Victor BobsinM - 27
Jeong Jae-HeeM - 7
M. IshidaM - 17
G. LudwigsonM - 10
Joo Min-KyuF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Kim Jin-Ya
14 · Kim Jun-Bum
31 · Kim Min-Soo
20 · Lee Hyun-Sik
41 · Park Byung-chan
19 · Seo Jin-Su
11 · Um Won-Sang
9 · Diogo de Oliveira
4 · Jo Seong-Kwon
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Incheon United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ferrier | 67 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Dong-Heon | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Tae-Hui | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Sang-Gi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Young-Whan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Yeonsoo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Seong-Min | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeong Chi-In | 7 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerso | 23 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Choi Seung-Gu | 7 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Mugoša | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Myung-Joo | 84 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Ju-Yong | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Chung-Yong | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Leandro Ribeiro | 83 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Myung-Sun | 83 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Geon-Hui | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Juan Fernández | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Seo Jae-Min | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Min-Hyeok | 6 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Daejeon Citizen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Bobsin | 89 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jo Seong-Kwon | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Diogo de Oliveira | 12 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Jin-Ya | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Jun-Bum | 30 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Min-Soo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Hyun-Sik | 1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Park Byung-chan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Seo Jin-Su | 44 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Um Won-Sang | 30 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Ludwigson | 46 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Soon-Min | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Myung-Jae | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Krivotsyuk | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kang Yun-Sung | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joo Min-Kyu | 78 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeong Jae-Hee | 60 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ishida | 60 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ha Chang-Rae | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Chang-Geun | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗K League 1 table
Current standings · K-League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | 31 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Ulsan Hyundai FC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 47 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  Jeju United FC | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 46 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 | DLDWD |
| 5 |  Gangwon FC | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 42 | LDDWD |
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 40 | DDWWL |
| 7 |  Pohang Steelers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 | WDDLD |
| 8 |  FC Anyang | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Incheon United | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 11 |  Bucheon FC 1995 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 32 | LDLLD |
| 12 |  Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 15 | DDLDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Incheon United | Draw | Daejeon Citizen |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.20 | 2.46 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 09:27 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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