Likeliest match result
Recoleta to win42.0% market implied
Stored odds 2.23 · 1xBet
Primera BMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRERecoleta vs Santiago Wanderers match centre
Pre-match
19:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Our model is Unavailable. This alternative view comes from margin-adjusted bookmaker prices.
No qualifying value at this price
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance72.4%
Best stored price1.30William Hill
A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 76.9%.
Explore this lean in practice → Review the latest price before recording a virtual pick.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals52.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.82 · 1xBet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes52.9% market implied
Stored odds 1.78 · Betano
Double chance
Either team to win (no draw)72.4% market implied
Stored odds 1.30 · William Hill
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 2 Oct 03:33 UK · Within the price-age checks. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Recoleta 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Santiago Wanderers 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages are shown as supplied, including any 0% or 100% values; those are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Recoleta
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Recoleta’s resultsSantiago Wanderers
4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Santiago Wanderers’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Recoleta
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Deportes Santa CruzAway · Primera B0–0San Marcos de AricaHome · Primera B2–1AntofagastaAway · Primera B2–1Curico UnidoAway · Primera B0–0O'HigginsHome · Copa Chile1–3Deportes CopiapoHome · Primera B2–1Deportes TemucoAway · Primera B1–1Rangers de TalcaHome · Primera B4–2Union San FelipeAway · Primera B0–0D. Puerto MonttHome · Primera B0–1
Santiago Wanderers
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CobreloaAway · Primera B0–1Deportes TemucoAway · Primera B0–3Deportes IquiqueHome · Primera B1–0MagallanesHome · Primera B2–1San LuisAway · Primera B1–0D. Puerto MonttHome · Primera B1–1AntofagastaAway · Primera B0–0San Marcos de AricaHome · Primera B1–1Union La CaleraHome · Copa Chile0–4Deportes Santa CruzAway · Primera B3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Recoleta at home with Santiago Wanderers away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primera B · 2026/27 · all league matches
RecoletaSantiago Wanderers
15Matches played15
22Points earned26
6Wins7
1.6Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
4Clean sheets4
3Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Recoleta at home with Santiago Wanderers away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Recoleta
1wins4MEETINGS
Santiago Wanderers
0winsJul 2024 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Recoleta first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Recoleta
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Santiago Wanderers
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primera B table
Current standings · Primera B. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 42 | DLWLW |
| 3 |  San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 40 | WDDLW |
| 5 |  Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 7 |  San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 36 | WLWLL |
| 8 |  Union Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 36 | DLDLW |
| 9 |  D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 10 |  Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 32 | DWLWL |
| 11 |  Deportes Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 12 |  Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 28 | WLLLW |
| 13 |  Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 | LWLDW |
| 14 |  Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 | DWDDL |
| 15 |  Union San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 16 |  Rangers de Talca | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 | LWWWW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Recoleta | Draw | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.14 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.37 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Snapshot from 2 Oct 2026, 03:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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