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Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar match centre

Alianza Lima badgeAlianza LimaHome · 1 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
FBC Melgar badgeFBC MelgarAway · 4 in league
WWLLD
Momentum↘ Falling40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Paolo Guerrero30′
J. Velez66′
R. Garces84′
J. Vidales44′ (pen)
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva · LimaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Alianza Lima
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%FBC Melgar
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Alianza Lima 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · FBC Melgar 3.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Alianza LimaFBC Melgar
3Corner Kicks4
7Fouls7
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves7
344Total passes336
290Passes accurate268

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Alianza Lima28+2859—
2Universitario27+1249—
3Deportivo Garcilaso27+1548—
4FBC Melgar28+1446—
5Cusco27+245—
6Club Deportivo Los Chankas26-941—
7Cienciano25+740—
8Alianza Atletico27+540—
9Sporting Cristal27+838—
10Sport Boys27+338—
11Sport Huancayo27-735—
12Juan Pablo II College27-1034—
13Atletico Grau27-532—
14Comerciantes Unidos27-330—
15FC Cajamarca27-1127—
16UCV Moquegua27-1725—
17ADT26-1422—
18UTC Cajamarca27-1815—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Alianza Lima 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FBC Melgar 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Alianza Lima

5/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Alianza Lima’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FBC Melgar

6/9Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect FBC Melgar’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alianza Lima at home with FBC Melgar away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primera División · 2026/27 · all league matches

Alianza LimaFBC Melgar
5Matches played5
13Points earned9
4Wins3
1.2Goals scored / match2.0
0.4Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alianza Lima at home with FBC Melgar away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Alianza Lima

Confirmed formation4-4-2Pablo Guede
  1. 1A. DuarteG
  2. 17L. AdvinculaD
  3. 6R. GarcesD
  4. 3M. AntoniD
  5. 13M. HuamanD
  6. 11A. CanteroM
  7. 7F. GaiborM
  8. 5E. PavezM
  9. 20J. VelezM
  10. 34Paolo GuerreroF
  11. 27K. QuevedoF
Substitutes (9)

12 · A. De la Cruz

25 · G. Gentile

31 · C. Carbajal

21 · P. Cari

55 · P. Aquino

4 · G. Chavez

15 · J. Castillo

99 · F. Girotti

9 · L. Ramos

FBC Melgar

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Miguel Rondelli
  1. 12C. CacedaG
  2. 4A. RamosD
  3. 33M. LazoD
  4. 90Jesus AlcantarD
  5. 45M. ZegarraD
  6. 24W. TandazoM
  7. 6J. SalasM
  8. 77F. ZanelattoM
  9. 10N. QuagliataM
  10. 11J. VidalesM
  11. 9B. CuestaF
Substitutes (9)

21 · J. Cabezudo

23 · J. Escobar

17 · J. De Santis

80 · J. D'Arrigo

22 · P. Erustes

27 · N. Cabanillas

5 · A. Deneumostier

18 · N. Figueroa

14 · Y. Gamero

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Alianza Lima

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alejandro Duarte908.2—0—19—
Luis Advíncula905.9—0—19—
Renzo Garcés907.910137—
Mateo Antoni906.6—0—43—
Marco Huaman907.5—0—372
Alan Cantero786.9—13181
Fernando Gaibor867.2—02382
Esteban Pavez907.2—01391
Jairo Vélez899.0112362
Paolo Guerrero867.210422—
Kevin Quevedo786.7—0221—
Piero Cari126.5—0—51
Gaspar Gentile126.6—015—
Pedro Aquino116.6—0—5—
Federico Girotti116.7—015—
Jesús Castillo1——0—1—
Ángel de la Cruz———————
Gianfranco Chávez———————
Cristian Carbajal———————
Luis Ramos———————

FBC Melgar

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Cáceda906.9—0—31—
Alejandro Ramos906.3—0—302
Matías Lazo457.5—0—291
Jesus Alcantar905.9—0—35—
Matías Zegarra906.3—0—193
Walter Tandazo906.9—01433
Javier Salas586.5—0114—
Franco Zanelatto756.2—019—
Nicolás Quagliata906.9—0240—
Jhonny Vidales896.610227—
Bernardo Cuesta456.3—0—7—
Juan Escobar456.3—0—27—
Pablo Erustes456.2—0—91
Jeriel De Santis326.7—0123—
Jhamir D'Arrigo156.5—0—12—
Nicolás Figueroa1——0—2—
Jorge Cabezudo———————
Alec Deneumostier———————
Nelson Cabanillas———————
Yimy Gamero———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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