Gremio
2/7Wins
2.4Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Gremio’s results
Gaúcho - 1Quarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREGremio vs Novo Hamburgo match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Carlos Vinicius55′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
GremioNovo Hamburgo
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Gremio 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Novo Hamburgo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Novo Hamburgo
2/6Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Novo Hamburgo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Gremio
7 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored6 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Novo Hamburgo
6 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals1 of 6
Both teams scored2 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Gremio at home with Novo Hamburgo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Gaúcho - 1 · 2026/27 · all league matches
GremioNovo Hamburgo
6Matches played6
10Points earned6
3Wins1
2.4Goals scored / match0.9
1.0Goals conceded / match0.8
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Gremio at home with Novo Hamburgo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Gremio
Confirmed formationPendingLuis Castro
- 1
Weverton - 14
Marcos Rocha - 53
Gustavo Martins - 3
Wagner Leonardo - 38
Caio Paulista - 8
Edenilson - 19
E. Noriega - 47
Roger - 88
Willian - 9
F. Amuzu - 95
Carlos Vinicius
Substitutes (12)
12 · Gabriel Grando
44 · Viery
4 · Walter Kannemann
23 · Marlon
10 · F. Cristaldo
40 · Jefinho
39 · Tiago
17 · Dodi
16 · A. Aravena
99 · J. Enamorado
37 · Gabriel Mec
77 · Andre Henrique
Novo Hamburgo
Confirmed formationPendingZimermann Rogerio
- 1
Omar - 3
Romercio - 4
Joao Marcus - 6
Josue - 2
Guilherme Mantuan - 8
Carlos Maia - 5
Amaral - 10
Marcos Vinicius - 7
Rone - 9
Luam Parede - 11
Allison
Substitutes (12)
25 · Pablo
12 · Breno Boeno
22 · Muriel
13 · V. Santana
16 · Vinicius Amaral
20 · Henrique
21 · Joao Castro
17 · Ghiven
18 · C. Santos
14 · Vinicius Kiss
15 · S. de Souza Marques
19 · Matheus Batista
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Gaúcho - 1 table
Current standings · Gaucho, Serie A1 2026, Group B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 10 | WWDWD |
| 2 |  Caxias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 3 |  Ypiranga-RS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | LLWDD |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | DDDDD |
| 6 |  Inter Santa Maria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 5 | DLLDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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