Likeliest match result
Cavalry FC to win57.6% market implied
Stored odds 1.62 · Pinnacle
Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageTHE MATCH CENTREYork United vs Cavalry FC match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Sebastian Gonzales6′
Steffen Yeates12′
Steffen Yeates69′
Amer Didic83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Pre-match research only
Either team to win (no draw)
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance77.8%
Best stored price1.25Bet365
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 80.0%.
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals63.1% market implied
Stored odds 1.51 · 1xBet
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes60.5% market implied
Stored odds 1.57 · Bet365
Double chance
Cavalry FC or draw79.8% market implied
Stored odds 1.21 · Betano
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 3 Oct 13:25 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
York UnitedCavalry FC
The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
York United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Cavalry FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
York United
2/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect York United’s resultsCavalry FC
7/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cavalry FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
York United
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored10 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Pacific FCHome · Canadian Premier League3–4Vancouver FCAway · Canadian Premier League3–3HFX Wanderers FCAway · Canadian Premier League1–4Vancouver FCHome · Canadian Premier League3–1Pacific FCHome · Canadian Premier League3–3ForgeAway · Canadian Premier League1–1Atlético OttawaAway · Canadian Premier League1–2Supra du QuebecHome · Canadian Premier League1–1HFX Wanderers FCHome · Canadian Premier League4–3Pacific FCAway · Canadian Premier League1–1
Cavalry FC
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Atlético OttawaAway · Canadian Premier League2–3Supra du QuebecHome · Canadian Premier League6–0ForgeHome · Canadian Premier League1–1Pacific FCAway · Canadian Premier League1–0HFX Wanderers FCAway · Canadian Premier League3–1Vancouver FCHome · Canadian Premier League1–0Atlético OttawaHome · Canadian Premier League3–1ForgeHome · Canadian Premier League2–1Supra du QuebecAway · Canadian Premier League1–1York UnitedHome · Canadian Premier League5–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare York United at home with Cavalry FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 3 Oct, 21:16 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Canadian Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
York UnitedCavalry FC
21Matches played22
23Points earned50
5Wins15
1.4Goals scored / match1.9
2.2Goals conceded / match0.6
2Clean sheets9
2Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares York United at home with Cavalry FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
York United
Most-used league formation3-4-37 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Cavalry FC
Most-used league formation4-2-3-19 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Canadian Premier League table
Current standings · Canadian Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 13 | 29 | 50 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Forge | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 46 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Atlético Ottawa | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 34 | LLDWL |
| 4 |  Vancouver FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 31 | DLWLL |
| 5 |  HFX Wanderers FC | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 26 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Supra du Quebec | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 7 | York United | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 | LWDDL |
| 8 |  Pacific FC | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 11 | DLDDW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | York United | Draw | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.92 | 1.54 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31 | 4.11 | 1.62 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
Snapshot from 3 Oct 2026, 13:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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