Aucas
5/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aucas’s results
Liga ProMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREAucas vs Libertad match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Quinonez77′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AucasLibertad
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target3
12Total Shots9
62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks2
13Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
592Total passes361
520Passes accurate281
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aucas 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Libertad 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Libertad
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Libertad’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aucas
10 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LDU de QuitoAway · Copa Ecuador0–1Delfin SCAway · Liga Pro1–0LDU de QuitoHome · Liga Pro0–1Leones del NorteHome · Liga Pro3–0EmelecAway · Liga Pro2–0MacaraHome · Liga Pro1–4Orense SCAway · Liga Pro1–2Tecnico UniversitarioAway · Liga Pro1–0Independiente del ValleHome · Liga Pro0–3Deportivo CuencaAway · Liga Pro1–0
Libertad
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MacaraHome · Liga Pro1–0Guayaquil City FCAway · Liga Pro2–2Universidad CatolicaHome · Liga Pro2–1Orense SCHome · Liga Pro3–0Delfin SCHome · Liga Pro1–0Barcelona SCAway · Liga Pro0–1Tecnico UniversitarioHome · Liga Pro1–0LDU de QuitoAway · Liga Pro0–0Leones del NorteHome · Liga Pro1–3Manta FCAway · Liga Pro1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aucas at home with Libertad away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga Pro · 2026/27 · all league matches
AucasLibertad
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aucas at home with Libertad away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aucas
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Norberto Araujo
- 13
H. PiedraG - 16
L. GustavinoD - 14
S. TapieroD - 4
M. BurdissoD - 28
R. QuinonezD - 6
A. L. SpinaM - 37
A. ZovaM - 21
P. GuzmanM - 18
A. MenaM - 17
C. ZambranoM - 9
R. MontiF
Substitutes (10)
1 · I. Chaves
12 · J. Cabezas
31 · B. Carabali
5 · T. Serpa
34 · M. A. Carcelen Carabali
20 · D. S. Espinosa
7 · J. M. Andrade
30 · B. Oyola
57 · M. Vera
11 · R. Bolanos
Libertad
Confirmed formation5-4-1Pablo Buch Juan
- 12
D. CabezasG - 17
E. PattaD - 6
B. CaicedoD - 2
R. MorinigoD - 19
O. QuinonezD - 18
Y. QuinonezD - 70
V. BrandaM - 63
C. ValenciaM - 80
X. E. Pineda Arana - 49
D. CoronelM - 33
A. ChereF
Substitutes (9)
1 · P. Mina
8 · S. Castro
10 · G. J. Cortez Casierra
30 · J. Bravo
23 · J. Guisamano
5 · C. Gruezo
66 · J. Estacio
11 · H. Batalla
9 · E. Caicedo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Aucas
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Piedra | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Luis Gustavino | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 95 | 1 |
| Stiven Tapiero | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 73 | — |
| Mateo Burdisso | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 73 | — |
| Ederson Quiñónez | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 1 |
| Agostino Spina | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 3 |
| Alex Zova | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Piero Guzmán | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 60 | 1 |
| Andres Mena | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Cristhoper Zambrano | 63 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Rafael Monti | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Michael Carcelén | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 7 | — |
| Alexander Bolaños | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Maverick Vera | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Cabezas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Chaves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Byron Carabalí | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Serpa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Oyola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Espinosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Libertad
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Cabezas | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Elvis Patta | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Bryan Caicedo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Morinigo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Orlin Quinonez | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 2 |
| Yerman Quinonez | 79 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Vilington Branda | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Cristhian Valencia | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Xavier Pineda | 69 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Dany Coronel | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Antony Chére | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Jostin Bravo | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Enrique Caicedo | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jawer Guisamano | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Hancel Batalla | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Cortez | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Johan Estacio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Gruezo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stick Castro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Publio Mina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Liga Pro table
Current standings · Liga Pro: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 | LWDLW |
| 8 |  Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 | LDWLL |
| 9 |  Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 | LWDWL |
| 11 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 | LDDWD |
| 12 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 | DLLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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