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Liga ProMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRE

Emelec vs Leones del Norte match centre

Emelec badgeEmelecHome · 10 in league
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Leones del Norte badgeLeones del NorteAway · 8 in league
LDLWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Ruiz3′
A. Leguizamon90′
J. Anangono24′
Estadio George Capwell · GuayaquilSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EmelecLeones del Norte
4Corner Kicks4
15Fouls14
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
355Total passes380
275Passes accurate307

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Emelec 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Leones del Norte 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Emelec

3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Emelec’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Leones del Norte

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Leones del Norte’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Emelec at home with Leones del Norte away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:17 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Pro · 2026/27 · all league matches

EmelecLeones del Norte
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Emelec at home with Leones del Norte away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Emelec

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1M. ValeroG
  2. 13L. GomezD
  3. 27F. LeonD
  4. 2A. LeguizamonD
  5. 3I. GuerricoD
  6. 5A. MinaM
  7. 32J. ValverdeM
  8. 19J. RuizM
  9. 7L. KlimowiczM
  10. 15L. FragozoM
  11. 9R. CarrilloF
Substitutes (12)

90 · E. Bores

4 · E. Segura

8 · G. Napoli

21 · J. Cevallos

6 · V. Griffith

16 · S. Quintero

26 · I. Cuero

59 · R. Saya

17 · J. Ayovi

10 · F. Pizzini

11 · T. Arce

30 · A. Mina

Leones del Norte

Confirmed formation5-3-2Matias Cordoba
  1. 45L. NazarenoG
  2. 4R. ArroyoD
  3. 2J. MoranD
  4. 23N. MonserratD
  5. 25B. KreimanD
  6. 34S. PortocarreroD
  7. 6E. GriffaM
  8. 5T. CoppoM
  9. 29P. MaderoM
  10. 99C. SolanoF
  11. 40J. AnangonoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Congo

50 · M. Caicedo

3 · F. Vargas

7 · M. Luque

16 · M. De La Cruz

14 · A. Folleco

31 · G. Padilla

70 · D. Pazmino

19 · E. Pepinos

13 · J. Cabeza

15 · I. Araujo

17 · T. Amilivia

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Emelec

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mario Valero636.3—0—12—
Luis Gomez906.3—0—401
Luis Fernando León906.3—0—44—
Aníbal Leguizamón907.9101601
Ignacio Guerrico536.9—0219—
Angelo Mina906.6—01251
Jefferson Valverde906.5—0—312
Juan Ruiz Gómez908.2101332
Luca Klimowicz456.7—0—5—
Luis Fragozo736.9—12121
Ronie Carrillo736.5—0121—
Francisco Pizzini456.3—0214—
Ariel Mina376.9—0—16—
Eduardo Bores277.2—0—4—
Reixon Saya176.2—0—5—
Gonzalo Nápoli177.3—1—141
Ibrain Cuero———————
Estalin Segura———————
Sergio Quintero———————
Teodoro Arce———————
Víctor Griffith———————
José Cevallos———————
Jaime Ayoví———————

Leones del Norte

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Leonel Nazareno906.3—0—26—
Jonathan Arroyo906.0—0—242
Jordan Morán907.2—01513
Nicolás Monserrat906.9—0—56—
Brian Kreiman905.9—0135—
Segundo Portocarrero676.2—01101
Emiliano Griffa876.9—1242—
Tobías Coppo756.9—01283
Patricio Madero906.3—01402
Cristhian Solano756.9—01204
Juan Anangonó887.910310—
Mauro Luque236.5—01111
Elián Pepinós156.7—0—81
Darío Pazmiño156.2—0—7—
Thomas Amilivia136.5—0—7—
Jorge Cabeza126.3—0—5—
Jordan Congo———————
Anthony Folleco———————
Miguel Caicedo———————
Frixon Joel Vargas Manzaba———————
Maiky De La Cruz———————
Ignacio Burneo———————
Gian Padilla———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga Pro table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga Pro: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Independiente del Valle30242473334074
WWLDW
2Universidad Catolica30149751272451
WWDDW
3Macara3015694133851
WLWWL
4Aucas3014883328550
DDDWW
5LDU de Quito30137103124746
DWDLW
6Barcelona SC30111183225744
DDWLW
7Libertad30118113334-141
LWDLW
8Leones del Norte30109113132-139
LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FC30109113336-339
WLLWW
10Emelec30109112534-939
LWDWL
11Mushuc Runa SC30911103538-338
LDDWD
12Deportivo Cuenca30106142537-1236
DLWLD
13Orense SC3096153647-1133
LWLLL
14Tecnico Universitario30102182842-1432
WLLWL
15Delfin SC3077161931-1228
DLWLL
16Manta FC3056191742-2521
DLLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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