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Liga ProMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRE

Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC match centre

Universidad Catolica badgeUniversidad CatolicaHome · 2 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Orense SC badgeOrense SCAway · 13 in league
WLLLW
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Fajardo3′
M. Alonso5′
V. Burgoa14′
Olimpico Atahualpa · QuitoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 23:33 UK.

Odds updated 14 Sep 21:14 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.42Market chance 65.3%From stored odds Draw4.33Market chance 21.4%From stored odds Away win7.00Market chance 13.3%From stored odds Bet365 · Updated 14 Sep 21:14 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Universidad CatolicaOrense SC
5Corner Kicks2
8Fouls8
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
729Total passes290
666Passes accurate243

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Universidad Catolica 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Orense SC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Orense SC

3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Orense SC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Universidad Catolica at home with Orense SC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:42 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Pro · 2026/27 · all league matches

Universidad CatolicaOrense SC
29Matches played29
48Points earned33
13Wins9
1.7Goals scored / match1.2
0.9Goals conceded / match1.5
11Clean sheets5
5Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Universidad Catolica at home with Orense SC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Universidad Catolica

1wins
2 draws

Orense SC

1wins

Aug 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Universidad Catolica first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Universidad Catolica

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Diego Martinez
  1. 12J. LaraG
  2. 8E. ClavijoD
  3. 33L. CangaD
  4. 37C. MedinaD
  5. 30E. MejiaD
  6. 10F. MartinezM
  7. 5J. CacciabueM
  8. 11J. EvansM
  9. 28M. DiazM
  10. 32M. AlonsoM
  11. 7J. FajardoF
Substitutes (10)

1 · L. Cueva

24 · D. Nazareno

44 · E. Valencia

14 · J. Mina

19 · M. Sevillano

23 · A. Rodriguez

17 · R. Troya

15 · L. Moreno

18 · B. Palacios

26 · S. Yanez

Orense SC

Confirmed formation4-4-2Agustin Robles
  1. 12R. SilvaG
  2. 31P. VelascoD
  3. 24G. AchilierD
  4. 5A. LorenzoD
  5. 15B. CaicedoD
  6. 30V. BurgoaM
  7. 26N. MolinaM
  8. 51C. Ortiz
  9. 11A. HerreraM
  10. 13A. MenaF
  11. 23W. ChuchucaF
Substitutes (12)

22 · J. Ortiz

6 · S. Callegari

3 · S. Mina

2 · B. Quinonez

25 · R. Jaramilo

21 · G. Rostagno

74 · C. Barrio

50 · E. Hernandez

57 · S. Mairongo

88 · J. Valencia

19 · M. Bermudez

53 · L. Garces

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Universidad Catolica

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Johan Lara906.5—0—18—
Emiliano Clavijo897.6—11743
Luis Cangá907.9—0—1025
Carlos Medina907.3—01911
Eddy Mejía907.0—01593
Facundo Martinez737.3—01732
Jerónimo Cacciabue867.0—0—881
Jimmy Evans457.0—1—11—
Mauro Díaz907.2—0—99—
Mauricio Alonso907.3103321
José Fajardo907.010226—
Darwin Nazareno456.3—0—46—
Jonnathan Mina176.9—0—12—
Luis Moreno116.3—0—3—
Rooney Troya1——0———
Lucas Cueva———————
Eric Valencia———————
Marcos Sevillano———————
Álex Rodríguez———————
Saenddy Yánez———————
Byron Palacios———————

Orense SC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rolando Silva906.5—0—27—
Pedro Velasco906.7—1—19—
Gabriel Achilier907.0—0—28—
Alan Lorenzo906.2—01282
Beder Caicedo906.2—0—261
Valentín Burgoa907.0102301
Nixon Molina906.7—0—34—
Christian Ortíz847.0—0—331
Agustin Herrera906.3—01252
Ángel Mena846.6—0—271
Wilson Chuchuca716.5—0—111
Jhon Valencia136.5—0—3—
Renny Jaramillo136.6—0141
Luis Garces136.3—0—21
Michael Bermúdez136.7—011—
Jordy Ortiz———————
Sleyder Mairongo———————
Bryan Quinonez———————
Sixto Mina———————
Stéfano Callegari———————
Carlos Barrio———————
Eddie Hernandez———————
Gonzalo Martin Rostagno———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga Pro table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga Pro: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Independiente del Valle30242473334074
WWLDW
2Universidad Catolica30149751272451
WWDDW
3Macara3015694133851
WLWWL
4Aucas3014883328550
DDDWW
5LDU de Quito30137103124746
DWDLW
6Barcelona SC30111183225744
DDWLW
7Libertad30118113334-141
LWDLW
8Leones del Norte30109113132-139
LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FC30109113336-339
WLLWW
10Emelec30109112534-939
LWDWL
11Mushuc Runa SC30911103538-338
LDDWD
12Deportivo Cuenca30106142537-1236
DLWLD
13Orense SC3096153647-1133
LWLLL
14Tecnico Universitario30102182842-1432
WLLWL
15Delfin SC3077161931-1228
DLWLL
16Manta FC3056191742-2521
DLLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerUniversidad CatolicaDrawOrense SC
William Hill1.404.006.50
Bet3651.424.337.00
Marathonbet1.364.336.55
Betfair1.364.407.00
BetVictor1.333.905.25

Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 21:14 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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