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Serie BMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Athletic Club vs Novorizontino match centre

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubHome · 13 in league
WDWWL
Momentum↘ Falling63/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:4
UK time · Europe/London
Novorizontino badgeNovorizontinoAway · 3 in league
LWLDW
Momentum↗ Rising50/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
W. Aponza81′
Nicolas Careca19′
Robson59′
Matheus Bianqui77′
Luis Oyama90′
Estádio Joaquim Portugal · Minas GeraisSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
8Corner Kicks5
10Fouls6
3Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
358Total passes403
289Passes accurate324

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Athletic Club 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Novorizontino 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Athletic Club

4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Athletic Club’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Novorizontino

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Novorizontino’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Athletic Club at home with Novorizontino away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

Athletic ClubNovorizontino
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Athletic Club at home with Novorizontino away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Athletic Club

Confirmed formation3-4-3Souza Alex
  1. 1Luan PolliG
  2. 4BeleziD
  3. 16Joao MiguelD
  4. 19J. Pool
  5. 22Diogo BatistaM
  6. 5Felipe NegrucciM
  7. 15Jota
  8. 23Enzo SantosM
  9. 11MaxF
  10. 20W. AponzaF
  11. 17Kauan RodriguesF
Substitutes (12)

12 · Tony

2 · Douglas Pele

6 · Marcelo Henrique

13 · Felipe Vieira

10 · Gustavinho

8 · G. Cabezas

18 · Assis

3 · Alexandre Pena

14 · Yago Santos

9 · Kauan Lindes

7 · Bruninho

21 · D. Vera

Novorizontino

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Moreira Enderson
  1. 93JordiG
  2. 2MadsonD
  3. 26Gabriel BahiaD
  4. 4PatrickD
  5. 5SanderD
  6. 6Luis OyamaM
  7. 18Leo NaldiM
  8. 41ReidineyM
  9. 10RomuloM
  10. 30Nicolas CarecaM
  11. 11RobsonF
Substitutes (11)

31 · Cesar Augusto

66 · Maykon Jesus

14 · Eduardo Brock

22 · Ivan Alvarino

17 · Matheus Bianqui

19 · Diego Galo

28 · Marlon

50 · Juninho

27 · Diego Mathias

16 · Vinicius Paiva

9 · Carlao

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Athletic Club

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luan Polli956.9———19—
Lucas Belezi955.9——169—
Joao Miguel956.3———55—
Jhan Pool Torres456.7———271
Diogo Batista de Souza465.3—0119—
Felipe Negrucci686.2———33—
Jota336.2——116—
Enzo616.5———26—
Max616.9——282
Wilinton Aponzá957.21—311—
Kauan Rodrigues957.0———341
Dixon Vera626.2———121
Douglas Pele506.3———232
Marcelo Henrique346.3———171
Redney Emanuel de Jesus Assis346.3—1110—
Felipe Vieira276.2———20—
Tony———————
Alexandre Pena———————
Kauan Lindes———————
Bruninho———————
Yago Santos———————
Gian Cabezas———————
Gustavinho———————

Novorizontino

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jordi956.7———26—
Madson957.0———501
Gabriel Bahia956.9——1621
Patrick957.0———752
Sander957.0——1513
Luís Oyama957.91—3511
Leo Naldi736.3———21—
Reidiney616.6——1203
Rômulo737.0—1224—
Nicolas Careca807.61—1211
Robson807.21—3312
Juninho346.6—1116—
Matheus Bianqui227.31—118—
Diego Galo226.9—1—13—
Maykon Jesus156.5———2—
Carlão156.7——161
César———————
Alexis Alvarino———————
Eduardo Brock———————
Marlon———————
Vinicius Paiva———————
Diego Mathias———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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