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Serie BMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTRE

Vila Nova vs Ceara match centre

Vila Nova badgeVila NovaHome · 1 in league
LWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong70/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Ceara badgeCearaAway · 15 in league
WLLWL
Momentum→ Steady37/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Breno Augusto16′
Andre Luis75′
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga · GoiâniaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Vila NovaCeara
5Corner Kicks7
18Fouls10
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
293Total passes334
241Passes accurate265

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vila Nova 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ceara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vila Nova

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vila Nova’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ceara

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Ceara’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vila Nova at home with Ceara away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

Vila NovaCeara
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vila Nova at home with Ceara away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vila Nova

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ferreira Guto
  1. 1Helton LeiteG
  2. 22HaynerD
  3. 3Tiago PagnussatD
  4. 23Breno AugustoD
  5. 6HigorD
  6. 5Joao VieiraM
  7. 15DuduM
  8. 17Everton GaldinoM
  9. 10Marquinhos GabrielM
  10. 99JandersonM
  11. 7Andre LuisF
Substitutes (12)

29 · Dalberson

16 · Igor Carius

13 · Willian Formiga

33 · Bruno Xavier

8 · Willian Maranhao

20 · Nathan Camargo

21 · Higor Meritao

11 · Ryan

18 · Enzo Bizzotto

31 · Dodo

70 · Emerson Urso

9 · Gustavo Puskas

Ceara

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Paulista Daniel
  1. 1RichardG
  2. 18Julio CesarD
  3. 4Luiz OtavioD
  4. 71Gabriel RochaD
  5. 12SanchezD
  6. 26RichardsonM
  7. 81Joao GabrielM
  8. 60Enzo LodovicoM
  9. 11Lucas MugniM
  10. 20M. N. Ferreira BerrondoM
  11. 99LuccaF
Substitutes (11)

22 · Matheus Nogueira

2 · R. Ramos

13 · Luiz Otavio

86 · Aloisio

25 · Vinicius Zanocelo

40 · Melk

29 · Vina

8 · Matheus Araujo

21 · Giovanni Pavani

77 · Lenny Lobato

83 · Gabriel Amaral

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Vila Nova

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Helton Leite906.9—0—19—
Hayner907.0—0—181
Tiago Pagnussat907.0—11291
Breno447.6102151
Higor906.9—02301
João Vieira796.7—02251
Dudu Dos Santos796.9—01261
Everton Galdino736.7—0—152
Marquinhos Gabriel737.2—0215—
Janderson907.3—1133—
André Luís907.6101231
Willian Formiga467.0—0—9—
Emerson Urso176.7—0—8—
Dodô176.9—0112—
Nathan Camargo116.7—0—11—
Willian Maranhão116.7—0—5—
Dalberson———————
Igor Cariús———————
Bruno Xavier———————
Higor Meritão———————
Ryan Lima———————
Enzo———————
Gustavo Puskas———————

Ceara

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Richard906.7—0—12—
Júlio César716.3—0—292
Luiz Otávio907.0—0254—
Gabriel Silva Rocha906.3—01584
Sánchez906.2—01343
Richardson456.5—0—18—
João Gabriel906.6—0—18—
Enzo Valentim Lodovico846.5—0—16—
Lucas Mugni456.3—0—12—
Nicolás Ferreira726.7—0171
Lucca906.6—0181
Matheus Araújo456.3—01171
Vinicius Zanocelo456.7—0—301
Vina196.5—0—14—
Lenny Lobato186.3—0—71
Aloísio Barbosa de Abreu Neto106.9—0———
Matheus Nogueira———————
Rafael Ramos———————
Luiz Otávio———————
Melk———————
Giovanni Pavani———————
Gabriel Amaral———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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