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Serie BMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife match centre

Cuiaba badgeCuiabaHome · 10 in league
WLWD
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifeAway · 14 in league
WWLD
Momentum↘ Falling52/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Lorenzo Silva Martins33′
Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo52′
Kauan Cristtyan Cabral do Carmo63′
Arena Pantanal · CuiabaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 21 Sep 21:56 UK.

Odds updated 22 Sep 01:08 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.05Our model 50.1%Market 46.0% Draw3.30Our model 28.4%Market 28.6% Away win3.70Our model 21.5%Market 25.5% Bet365 · Updated 22 Sep 01:08 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CuiabaNautico Recife
6Corner Kicks4
15Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
381Total passes489
297Passes accurate406

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cuiaba 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Nautico Recife 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 22 Sep, 01:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cuiaba

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cuiaba’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nautico Recife

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Nautico Recife’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cuiaba at home with Nautico Recife away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

CuiabaNautico Recife
28Matches played28
40Points earned38
9Wins10
1.0Goals scored / match1.3
0.8Goals conceded / match1.2
11Clean sheets8
11Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cuiaba at home with Nautico Recife away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Cuiaba

1wins
0 draws

Nautico Recife

3wins

Mar 2018 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cuiaba

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Eduardo Barros

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Nautico Recife

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hélio dos Anjos
  1. 1MurielG
  2. 93Reginaldo LopesD
  3. 34WandersonD
  4. 3AlbertoD
  5. 23Igor FernandesD
  6. 8WendersonM
  7. 5AuremirM
  8. 7ViníciusM
  9. 10Jean CarlosM
  10. 24B. BorasiM
  11. 19Kaua Almeida da CostaF
Substitutes (10)

55 · G. Guruceaga

72 · Derek

78 · Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho

16 · Luiz Cláudio

88 · Caio

22 · P. Núñez

29 · Júnior Todinho

6 · Ryan

13 · Gabriel Severino de Sousa

2 · Arnaldo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nautico Recife

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Caio00.000000
Arnaldo456.0000381
Gabriel Severino de Sousa00.000000
Ryan00.000000
Júnior Todinho456.0000220
P. Núñez456.4003331
Luiz Cláudio00.000000
Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho236.300150
Derek236.600070
G. Guruceaga00.000000
Muriel906.3000370
Reginaldo Lopes455.9000121
Wanderson905.8002701
Alberto906.6000650
Igor Fernandes906.5001540
Wenderson906.8000616
Auremir455.9000181
Vinícius905.3001411
Jean Carlos676.1001180
B. Borasi455.6000142
Kaua Almeida da Costa676.5003150

Cuiaba

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Eric00.000000
Luiz Otávio00.000000
Pedro Henrique176.500120
Busatto00.000000
Weverson00.000000
Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho176.500271
Joao Silva00.000000
Rodrigo Farofa56.600021
Eliel296.300060
Vinicius Peixoto00.000000
Luisão00.000000
Wesley Dias286.900080
João Carlos906.6000230
João Basso907.8001493
Calebe907.6002591
Vitor Mendes907.4001490
Igor Inocêncio857.2004340
Raul906.9002531
David Miguel626.3004290
Lorenzo908.2101321
Kauan739.5204131
Jean Dias617.7013120
Fábio Gomes737.4013140
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerCuiabaDrawNautico Recife
William Hill2.003.003.80
Bet3652.053.303.70
Marathonbet1.973.183.78
Betfair1.953.204.00
BetVictor2.003.003.50

Snapshot from 22 Sep 2026, 01:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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