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Serie BMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRE

Londrina vs Fortaleza EC match centre

Londrina badgeLondrinaHome · 18 in league
LDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising54/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECAway · 2 in league
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos74′
Heron34′ (og)
Neris88′
Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias · LondrinaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 20 Sep 18:54 UK.

Odds updated 20 Sep 21:23 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.90Our model 29.2%Market 32.5% Draw3.00Our model 29.4%Market 31.5% Away win2.62Our model 41.4%Market 36.0% Bet365 · Updated 20 Sep 21:23 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
LondrinaFortaleza EC
6Corner Kicks2
18Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
412Total passes495
340Passes accurate408

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Londrina 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fortaleza EC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 20 Sep, 20:16 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Londrina

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Londrina’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Fortaleza EC

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Fortaleza EC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Londrina at home with Fortaleza EC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie B · 2026/27 · all league matches

LondrinaFortaleza EC
27Matches played28
25Points earned48
6Wins13
1.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match0.9
6Clean sheets13
10Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Londrina at home with Fortaleza EC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

3 recorded meetings

Londrina

0wins
1 draw

Fortaleza EC

2wins

May 2018 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Londrina first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Londrina

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Rogério Micale
  1. 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
  2. 2Nino ParaíbaD
  3. 15Gabriel LacerdaD
  4. 4WallaceD
  5. 34HeronD
  6. 5TárikM
  7. 17João ConiM
  8. 77Guilherme DantasM
  9. 20João VitorM
  10. 28HerbertM
  11. 99Igor BahiaF
Substitutes (12)

8 · Lucas Marques

27 · Guilherme Cachoeira

13 · André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da Silva

33 · Kevyn

32 · João Vitor

18 · Juninho

11 · Pablo Dyego

55 · Chumbinho

7 · Victor Hugo

23 · William Pottker

1 · Luan

96 · Thalis

Fortaleza EC

Confirmed formation4-4-2Paulo Autuori
  1. 1João RicardoG
  2. 22MaíltonD
  3. 3Lucas GazalD
  4. 6T. CardonaD
  5. 12Kaio HenriqueD
  6. 11VitinhoM
  7. 5PierreM
  8. 8RonaldM
  9. 75RodriguinhoM
  10. 91Francisco da CostaF
  11. 32Luiz FernandoF
Substitutes (12)

17 · Nathan Fogaça

13 · Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues

38 · Lucca

77 · Paulo Baya

31 · Welliton

25 · Vinícius Silvestre

10 · Lucas Crispim

4 · Luan

37 · Ryan Gustavo

28 · Paulinho

23 · Neris

21 · J. Cantillo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Londrina

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Guilherme Cachoeira226.5001131
Thalis00.000000
Luan00.000000
Mauricio Kozlinski906.1000250
Nino Paraíba776.2001371
Gabriel Lacerda906.7002390
Wallace906.7001481
Heron905.0001371
Tárik906.6001513
João Coni686.4004151
Guilherme Dantas686.1001340
João Vitor777.7012470
Herbert906.2003280
Igor Bahia848.2101181
William Pottker66.100020
Victor Hugo00.000000
Chumbinho00.000000
Pablo Dyego00.000000
Juninho226.100150
João Vitor00.000000
Kevyn00.000000
André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da Silva135.800050
Lucas Marques135.700070

Fortaleza EC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
J. Cantillo00.000000
Nathan Fogaça256.600071
Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues00.000000
Lucca00.000000
Paulo Baya00.000000
Welliton00.000000
Vinícius Silvestre00.000000
Lucas Crispim00.000000
Luan10.000000
Ryan Gustavo10.000010
Paulinho00.000000
Neris257.6101171
João Ricardo906.6000400
Maílton976.3004442
Lucas Gazal907.3010480
T. Cardona906.5000671
Kaio Henrique906.1000450
Vitinho896.3002281
Pierre906.8000672
Ronald656.4000363
Rodriguinho906.6000541
Francisco da Costa656.7003100
Luiz Fernando906.9000320
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie B table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie B. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Vila Nova29156841311051
WDWLW
2Fortaleza EC2914963324951
WDWWD
3Novorizontino29148749272250
LDWWW
4Juventude29148731191250
LLWDD
5Operario-PR2913884136547
WDWWD
6Criciuma2913882827147
LLLWL
7Atletico Goianiense29121073627946
LWWDW
8CRB29136104241145
LWLWW
9Sport Recife291111739291044
WLWLL
10Cuiaba29101363022843
WDWLW
11Goias29126113035-542
WWLLW
12São Bernardo29118104031941
WWLWL
13Athletic Club29101183431341
DWLWL
14Nautico Recife29108113536-138
LDLWW
15Ceara2998123137-635
WDLWL
16Botafogo SP2988133236-432
DLLLL
17Avai2986153038-830
LDLLL
18Londrina2977153941-228
LWWLD
19America Mineiro2945202149-2817
LLWLW
20Ponte Preta2934221762-4513
WLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerLondrinaDrawFortaleza EC
William Hill2.882.802.50
Bet3652.903.002.62
Marathonbet2.862.932.53
Betfair2.803.102.45
BetVictor2.753.002.45

Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 21:23 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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