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Coppa ItaliaSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRE

Lazio vs Atalanta match centre

Lazio badgeLazioHome
DDLDL
Momentum↓ Low18/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Atalanta badgeAtalantaAway
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Dele-Bashiru47′
B. Dia87′
M. Pasalic51′
Y. Musah90′
Stadio Olimpico · RomeSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.6%Lazio
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Atalanta
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Lazio 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Atalanta 4.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
LazioAtalanta
1Corner Kicks3
4Fouls12
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
483Total passes516
417Passes accurate460

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Semi-finalsLazio 2–2 Atalanta
Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lazio 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atalanta 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lazio

1/8Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Lazio’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atalanta

6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Atalanta’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lazio at home with Atalanta away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Coppa Italia · 2025/26 · all league matches

LazioAtalanta
2Matches played2
6Points earned6
2Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match3.5
0.5Goals conceded / match0.0
1Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lazio at home with Atalanta away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lazio

Confirmed formation4-3-3Maurizio Sarri
  1. 94I. ProvedelG
  2. 77A. MarusicD
  3. 34M. GilaD
  4. 13A. RomagnoliD
  5. 17N. TavaresD
  6. 7F. Dele-BashiruM
  7. 32D. CataldiM
  8. 24K. TaylorM
  9. 18G. IsaksenF
  10. 27D. MaldiniF
  11. 10M. ZaccagniF
Substitutes (14)

55 · A. Furlanetto

40 · E. Motta

4 · Patric

23 · E. Hysaj

3 · L. Pellegrini

25 · O. Provstgaard

21 · R. Belahyane

29 · M. Lazzari

28 · A. Przyborek

22 · M. Cancellieri

19 · B. Dia

14 · T. Noslin

20 · P. Ratkov

9 · Pedro

Atalanta

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Raffaele Palladino
  1. 29M. CarnesecchiG
  2. 42G. ScalviniD
  3. 4I. HienD
  4. 23S. KolasinacD
  5. 77D. ZappacostaM
  6. 15M. De RoonM
  7. 8M. PasalicM
  8. 47L. BernasconiM
  9. 10L. SamardzicF
  10. 59N. ZalewskiF
  11. 90N. KrstovicF
Substitutes (11)

31 · F. Rossi

57 · M. Sportiello

69 · H. Ahanor

5 · M. Bakker

16 · R. Bellanova

19 · B. Djimsiti

3 · O. Kossounou

6 · Y. Musah

9 · G. Scamacca

7 · K. Sulemana

45 · D. Vavassori

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lazio

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ivan Provedel905.6—0—22—
Adam Marušić906.5—0—60—
Mario Gila Fuentes907.3—0—731
Alessio Romagnoli906.7—01553
Nuno Tavares907.0—0—852
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru907.610141—
Danilo Cataldi906.6—0—33—
Kenneth Taylor836.9—01281
Gustav Isaksen646.3—0—211
Daniel Maldini767.0—1—15—
Mattia Zaccagni767.3—0—383
Matteo Cancellieri266.2—0112—
Boulaye Dia147.31017—
Tijjani Noslin146.7—0—11—
Reda Belahyane136.5—0—3—
Alessio Furlanetto———————
Edoardo Motta———————
Luca Pellegrini———————
Oliver Provstgaard———————
Manuel Lazzari———————
Elseid Hysaj———————
Patric———————
Adrian Przyborek———————
Pedro———————
Petar Ratkov———————

Atalanta

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Marco Carnesecchi906.3—0—32—
Giorgio Scalvini646.9—0—552
Isak Hien906.3—0—672
Sead Kolašinac766.7—0—501
Davide Zappacosta906.3—0254—
Marten de Roon645.9—0—43—
Mario Pašalić906.5103491
Lorenzo Bernasconi906.2—0—402
Lazar Samardžić766.7—0233—
Nicola Zalewski907.0—0—311
Nikola Krstović856.3—0—14—
Odilon Kossounou266.7—0—192
Yunus Musah267.310116—
Honest Ahanor146.2—0—111
Kamaldeen Sulemana146.9—1—4—
Gianluca Scamacca116.7—0—1—
Marco Sportiello———————
Francesco Rossi———————
Berat Djimsiti———————
Mitchel Bakker———————
Raoul Bellanova———————
Dominic Vavassori———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Coppa Italia table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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