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FA CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Fulham vs Southampton match centre

Fulham badgeFulhamHome
LWWWL
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Southampton badgeSouthamptonAway
WWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising87/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Stewart90′ (pen)
Craven Cottage · LondonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Fulham
Draw4.9%at full time
Current result estimate95.0%Southampton
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Fulham 5.1% · no further goal 91.8% · Southampton 3.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FulhamSouthampton
15Corner Kicks4
7Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
581Total passes264
519Passes accurate201

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 16Fulham 0–1 Southampton
Current progressionSouthampton
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Fulham 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Southampton 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Fulham

5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Fulham’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Southampton

6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Southampton’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fulham at home with Southampton away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

FulhamSouthampton
2Matches played2
6Points earned6
2Wins2
2.5Goals scored / match2.5
1.0Goals conceded / match1.5
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fulham at home with Southampton away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Fulham

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Marco Silva
  1. 23B. LecomteG
  2. 21T. CastagneD
  3. 5J. AndersenD
  4. 15J. CuencaD
  5. 30R. SessegnonD
  6. 6H. ReedM
  7. 10T. CairneyM
  8. 14O. BobbM
  9. 32E. Smith RoweM
  10. 19S. ChukwuezeM
  11. 9Rodrigo MunizF
Substitutes (9)

1 · B. Leno

7 · R. Jimenez

20 · S. Lukic

2 · K. Tete

16 · S. Berge

33 · A. Robinson

24 · J. King

17 · A. Iwobi

3 · C. Bassey

Southampton

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tonda Eckert
  1. 41D. PeretzG
  2. 14J. BreeD
  3. 6T. Harwood-BellisD
  4. 15N. WoodD
  5. 3R. ManningD
  6. 4F. DownesM
  7. 20C. JanderM
  8. 18T. FellowsM
  9. 10F. AzazM
  10. 13L. ScienzaM
  11. 9C. LarinF
Substitutes (9)

25 · G. Long

28 · O. Romeu

38 · E. Jelert

11 · R. Stewart

19 · C. Archer

23 · S. Edozie

48 · C. Bragg

27 · K. Matsuki

17 · J. Quarshie

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Fulham

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Benjamin Lecomte907.2—0—32—
Timothy Castagne906.9—01474
Joachim Andersen907.2—02963
Jorge Cuenca906.7—0—65—
Ryan Sessegnon906.7—02452
Harrison Reed897.2—0280—
Tom Cairney657.3—02791
Oscar Bobb906.9—0148—
Emile Smith Rowe896.9—0—421
Samuel Chukwueze906.9—0133—
Rodrigo Muniz907.0—0492
Alex Iwobi257.0—0—27—
Joshua King106.5—0———
Raúl Jiménez1——0—1—
Bernd Leno———————
Kenny Tete———————
Calvin Bassey———————
Antonee Robinson———————
Saša Lukić———————
Sander Berge———————

Southampton

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Peretz908.5—0—34—
James Bree907.2—0—242
Taylor Harwood-Bellis907.9—0—502
Nathan Wood906.6—0—271
Ryan Manning907.2—0—243
Flynn Downes906.9—0—191
Caspar Jander716.5—0—19—
Tom Fellows826.6—0172
Finn Azaz907.7—01261
Leo Scienza827.3—02142
Cyle Larin716.5—0—101
Cameron Bragg196.7—0—13—
Ross Stewart197.01018—
Samuel Edozie86.7—0—42
Kuryu Matsuki86.3—0—4—
George Long———————
Elias Jelert———————
Joshua Quarshie———————
Oriol Romeu———————
Cameron Archer———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

FA Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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