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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey match centre

FK Tobol Kostanay badgeFK Tobol KostanayHome · 7 in league
WWLWW
Momentum↗ Rising80/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Yelimay Semey badgeYelimay SemeyAway · 6 in league
WDLLW
Momentum→ Steady46/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Placca16′ (pen)
A. Zhaksylykov40′
Centralnyj Stadion · KostanaySeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 17 Sep 14:40 UK.

Odds updated 17 Sep 13:20 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.15Estimated chance 62.0%Pre-match estimate Draw3.40Estimated chance 21.1%Pre-match estimate Away win2.80Estimated chance 16.9%Pre-match estimate Bet365 · Updated 17 Sep 13:20 UK · Older than 24 hours Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FK Tobol KostanayYelimay Semey

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FK Tobol Kostanay 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Yelimay Semey 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 17 Sep, 08:34 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Yelimay Semey

2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Yelimay Semey’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FK Tobol Kostanay at home with Yelimay Semey away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 15:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches

FK Tobol KostanayYelimay Semey
25Matches played24
34Points earned35
10Wins9
1.3Goals scored / match1.4
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
4Clean sheets5
7Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FK Tobol Kostanay at home with Yelimay Semey away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

FK Tobol Kostanay

1wins
1 draw

Yelimay Semey

2wins

Sep 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with FK Tobol Kostanay first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FK Tobol Kostanay

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Miroslav Romashchenko
  1. 1Sultan BusurmanovG
  2. 21Nauryzbek ZhagorovM
  3. 72Rayan SenhadjiD
  4. 4Nemanja CavnićD
  5. 3Roman AsrankulovD
  6. 8Askhat TagybergenM
  7. 6Maksim MyakishM
  8. 30Luis GuerraM
  9. 14Amine TalalM
  10. 99Vitaliy LisakovichF
  11. 18Uroš MilovanovićF
Substitutes (9)

5 · Pape Alioune Ndiaye

17 · Aleksander Zuev

19 · Dauren Zhumat

57 · Azamat Zinadin

35 · Yuriy Melikhov

51 · David Mukhin

22 · Aleksandr Marochkin

25 · Antonio Boršić

34 · Sultan Bakhytkiriev

Yelimay Semey

Confirmed formation3-5-2Andrey Karpovich
  1. 32Ivan KonovalovG
  2. 26Strahinja TanasijevićD
  3. 15Maj MittendorferD
  4. 4Adilbek ZhumakhanovD
  5. 20Arsen AshirbekM
  6. 23Hrvoje IlićM
  7. 44Almas TyulyubayM
  8. 18Ramazan OrazovM
  9. 17Akmal BakhtiyarovM
  10. 77Euloge Fessou PlaccaF
  11. 19Aybar ZhaksylykovF
Substitutes (10)

89 · China

11 · Ivan Sviridov

5 · Marin Belančić

10 · Zhan-Ali Payruz

7 · Roman Murtazaev

1 · Egor Tsuprikov

8 · Miras Omatay

88 · Asan Baygaliev

9 · Roger Murillo

14 · Duban Felipe Palacio Mosquera

2026/27 STANDINGS

Premier League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Ordabasy25184348183058
WWLWW
2Kairat Almaty25176251193257
LLWWW
3FC Astana24136541251645
WLWWD
4Okzhetpes2613674135645
WLWWW
5Aktobe2612683831742
DWWLW
6Yelimay Semey2510873533238
WWLLD
7FK Tobol Kostanay26104123335-234
LWWLW
8Zhenys2688102632-632
LWLLW
9Ulytau2688102432-832
DLLWL
10Kaspiy2685132736-929
WLLWD
11Irtysh2568112634-826
WWLWL
12Kyzyl-Zhar2667132839-1125
DLLLD
13Kaisar26412102233-1124
DWLLL
14Atyrau2441191825-723
LLWLL
15Altay2658132538-1323
LWWLL
16Zhetysu2657142644-1822
LLWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerFK Tobol KostanayDrawYelimay Semey
William Hill2.303.102.80
Bet3652.153.402.80
Marathonbet2.253.222.75
Betfair2.303.502.63
Pinnacle2.293.202.76

Snapshot from 17 Sep 2026, 13:20 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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