Fiorentina
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Fiorentina’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREFiorentina vs Raków Częstochowa match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Ndour62′
A. Gudmundsson90+3′ (pen)
J. Brunes60′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.4%Fiorentina
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Raków Częstochowa
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Fiorentina 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Raków Częstochowa 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
1.770Expected goals · API-Football0.780
6Shots on target3
18Total Shots7
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks3
11Fouls13
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
478Total passes357
403Passes accurate278
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 7 | +6 | 14 | — |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | — |
| 6 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | — |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | — |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 7 | +4 | 12 | ↑ 6 |
| 10 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Fiorentina 2–1 Raków CzÄ™stochowa
→Current progressionFiorentina
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fiorentina 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Raków Częstochowa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Raków Częstochowa
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Raków CzÄ™stochowa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fiorentina
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Raków Częstochowa
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Pogon SzczecinHome · Ekstraklasa2–0Avia ÅšwidnikAway · Cup1–1Lech PoznanAway · Ekstraklasa3–4NiecieczaHome · Ekstraklasa1–0Zaglebie LubinAway · Ekstraklasa0–0Radomiak RadomHome · Ekstraklasa0–0Wisla PlockAway · Ekstraklasa1–2VojvodinaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1FK PartizanHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Zaglebie LubinHome · Ekstraklasa0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fiorentina at home with Raków CzÄ™stochowa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
FiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
10Matches played12
18Points earned29
6Wins9
1.9Goals scored / match1.7
1.1Goals conceded / match0.4
4Clean sheets7
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fiorentina at home with Raków Częstochowa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fiorentina
Confirmed formation4-5-1Paolo Vanoli
- 53
O. ChristensenG - 29
N. FortiniD - 15
P. ComuzzoD - 6
L. RanieriD - 21
R. GosensD - 65
F. ParisiM - 80
G. FabbianM - 8
R. MandragoraM - 27
C. NdourM - 22
J. FazziniM - 91
R. PiccoliF
Substitutes (11)
43 · D. de Gea
50 · P. Leonardelli
10 · A. Gudmundsson
61 · R. Braschi
60 · E. Kouadio
63 · P. Bonanno
2 · Dodo
17 · J. Harrison
44 · N. Fagioli
67 · E. Sadotti
62 · L. Balbo
Raków Częstochowa
Confirmed formation3-4-3Lukasz Tomczyk
- 48
O. ZychG - 7
F. TudorD - 25
B. RacovitanD - 4
S. SvarnasD - 19
M. AmeyawM - 23
K. StruskiM - 6
O. RepkaM - 8
T. PienkoM - 9
P. MakuchF - 18
J. BrunesF - 10
I. LopezF
Substitutes (11)
1 · K. Trelowski
5 · M. Bulat
17 · L. Rocha
80 · L. Diaby-Fadiga
11 · Adriano
44 · B. Mircetic
21 · J. Napieraj
24 · Z. Arsenic
2 · A. Mosor
35 · M. Ilenic
31 · D. Czeremski
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fiorentina
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Christensen | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Niccolò Fortini | 68 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 3 |
| Pietro Comuzzo | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 69 | — |
| Luca Ranieri | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 1 |
| Robin Gosens | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 |
| Fabiano Parisi | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 3 |
| Giovanni Fabbian | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | 82 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 52 | 3 |
| Cher Ndour | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 2 |
| Jacopo Fazzini | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | 3 |
| Roberto Piccoli | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Jack Harrison | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Albert Guðmundsson | 31 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Dodô | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| David De Gea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pietro Leonardelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddy Kouadio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Balbo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Sadotti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piergiorgio Bonanno | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Raków Częstochowa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliwier Zych | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Fran Tudor | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Bogdan Racovițan | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Stratos Svarnas | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Michael Ameyaw | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 4 |
| Karol Struski | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Oskar Repka | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Tomasz Pieńko | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Patryk Makuch | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | 80 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Ivi López | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | — |
| Zoran Arsenić | 30 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Lamine Diaby-Fadiga | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Marko Bulat | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Leonardo Rocha | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kacper Trelowski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Czeremski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitja Ilenič | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ariel Mosór | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jerzy Napieraj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Mirčetić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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