Lech Poznan
6/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Lech Poznan’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRELech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Ishak70′
Marlon Gomes36′
Newerton48′
Isaque Silva85′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Lech Poznan
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Shakhtar Donetsk
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Lech Poznan 3.6% · no further goal 91.9% · Shakhtar Donetsk 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Lech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
1.450Expected goals · API-Football1.270
2Shots on target6
7Total Shots15
43%Ball Possession57%
0Corner Kicks1
10Fouls6
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
388Total passes519
319Passes accurate465
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 7 | +7 | 16 | ↑ 5 |
| 2 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | — |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | +5 | 10 | — |
| 11 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | ↑ 1 |
| 12 | Lech Poznan | 7 | +2 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Lech Poznan 1–3 Shakhtar Donetsk
→Current progressionShakhtar Donetsk
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lech Poznan 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Shakhtar Donetsk
5/5Wins
2.8Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Shakhtar Donetsk’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lech Poznan
10 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Widzew ÅódźAway · Ekstraklasa1–2Gornik ZabrzeHome · Cup0–1Raków CzÄ™stochowaHome · Ekstraklasa4–3KuPSHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–0Korona KielceAway · Ekstraklasa2–1KuPSAway · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0Piast GliwiceHome · Ekstraklasa3–0Gornik ZabrzeAway · Ekstraklasa1–0Piast GliwiceAway · Ekstraklasa0–1Lechia GdanskHome · Ekstraklasa1–3
Shakhtar Donetsk
5 matchesResults5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.8
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lech Poznan at home with Shakhtar Donetsk away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Lech PoznanShakhtar Donetsk
8Matches played8
16Points earned17
5Wins5
1.9Goals scored / match1.7
1.0Goals conceded / match0.9
3Clean sheets3
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lech Poznan at home with Shakhtar Donetsk away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lech Poznan
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Niels Frederiksen
- 41
B. MrozekG - 2
J. PereiraD - 27
W. MonkaD - 16
A. MilicD - 15
M. GurgulD - 99
P. RodriguezM - 43
A. KozubalM - 8
A. GholizadehM - 77
L. PalmaM - 14
L. BengtssonM - 9
M. IshakF
Substitutes (10)
1 · P. Andreev
33 · M. Pruchniewski
4 · J. Moutinho
10 · P. Walemark
7 · Y. Agnero
20 · R. Gumny
72 · M. Skrzypczak
88 · T. Ismaheel
23 · G. Thordarson
6 · T. Ouma
Shakhtar Donetsk
Confirmed formation4-3-3Arda Turan
- 31
D. RiznykG - 17
V. TobiasD - 5
V. BondarD - 4
MarlonD - 13
P. HenriqueD - 27
O. OcheretkoM - 8
D. KryskivM - 10
PedrinhoM - 30
AlissonF - 19
Kaua EliasF - 11
NewertonF
Substitutes (12)
23 · K. Fesyun
2 · L. Traore
6 · Marlon Gomes
68 · P. Obah
49 · Luca Meirelles
14 · Isaque Silva
9 · M. Shved
29 · Y. Nazaryna
26 · Y. Konoplya
21 · A. Bondarenko
16 · I. Azarovi
37 · Lucas Ferreira
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lech Poznan
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Mrozek | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Joel Pereira | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 48 | 6 |
| Wojciech Mońka | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Antonio Milić | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Michal Gurgul | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Pablo Rodríguez | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Antoni Kozubal | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| Ali Gholizadeh | 61 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Luis Palma | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Leo Bengtsson | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Mikael Ishak | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Timothy Ouma | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| João Moutinho | 29 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Patrik Wålemark | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Taofeek Ismaheel | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Yannick Agnero | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Plamen Andreev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Pruchniewski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Gumny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Skrzypczak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gisli Thordarson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmytro Riznyk | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 5 |
| Valeriy Bondar | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 1 |
| Marlon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 2 |
| Pedro Henrique | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Dmytro Kryskiv | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Pedrinho | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 1 |
| Alisson Santana | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 3 |
| Kauã Elias | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Newerton Palmares | 75 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Marlon Gomes | 47 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Yehor Nazaryna | 16 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Isaque | 15 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Lucas Ferreira | 15 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Prosper Obah | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Kiril Fesyun | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yukhym Konoplia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Irakli Azarovi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marian Shved | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Bondarenko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lassina Traoré | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Meirelles | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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