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Norway vs Denmark match centre

Norway badgeNorwayHome · 3 in league
LWWL
Momentum→ Steady50/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Denmark badgeDenmarkAway · 2 in league
WDDW
Momentum→ Steady67/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Oscar Bobb14′
Erling Haaland18′
Erling Haaland74′
Mikkel Damsgaard25′
Rasmus Hojlund60′
Ullevaal Stadion · OsloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated 24 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.62Our model PendingMarket 58.3% Draw4.33Our model PendingMarket 21.8% Away win4.75Our model PendingMarket 19.9% Bet365 · Updated 24 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
NorwayDenmark
4Corner Kicks8
14Fouls9
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
505Total passes518
447Passes accurate461

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Norway 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Denmark 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 24 Sep, 19:02 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Norway

6/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Norway’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Denmark

4/7Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Denmark’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Norway at home with Denmark away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Nations League · 2026/27 · all league matches

NorwayDenmark
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match0.0
0.0Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Norway at home with Denmark away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

Norway

0wins
0 draws

Denmark

1wins

Jun 2024 – Jun 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Norway

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Denmark

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2026/27 STANDINGS

UEFA Nations League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League A - Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Portugal33007349
WWW
2Denmark310267-13
LWL
3Norway310256-13
LLW
4Wales310224-23
WLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerNorwayDrawDenmark
Marathonbet1.644.405.15
Betfair1.574.335.00
Pinnacle1.624.345.29
SBO1.643.974.40
William Hill1.554.004.80

Snapshot from 24 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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