Likeliest match result
Austria to win43.2% market implied
Stored odds 2.23 · Pinnacle
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 3THE MATCH CENTRERep. Of Ireland vs Austria match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Troy Parrott12′
Troy Parrott45′ (pen)
Alexander Prass71′
Michael Gregoritsch77′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Bookmaker marketOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
Experimental fallback — not a recommended bet. This model has not passed the data and predictive-performance checks required for recommendations. Its goal projections and scorelines are withheld. Any likelihood guide shown here uses bookmaker prices.
Pre-match research only
Austria or draw
Likelihood guide only: the strongest available selection at odds of at least 1.25, or the likeliest match result when prices are missing. It does not qualify as a value recommendation.
Market-implied chance73.3%
Best stored price1.32Betano
Prices need refreshing or checking with the bookmaker before a betting decision. A market-based lean does not establish a profitable edge.
Break-even at this price: 75.8%.
Goals forecast
Under 2.5 goals58.9% market implied
Stored odds 1.65 · SBO
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No52.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.85 · Betfair
Double chance
Austria or draw73.3% market implied
Stored odds 1.32 · Betano
Projected team goals and scorelines are unavailable until a current, consistent Kickoff Edge goal model passes review. The goals market above is a separate bookmaker view.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Experimental — not eligible for recommendations · Calculated 1 Oct 19:16 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 1 Oct 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Rep. Of IrelandAustria
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target7
8Total Shots16
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks5
14Fouls16
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
369Total passes514
279Passes accurate433
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rep. Of Ireland 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Austria 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 1 Oct, 18:06 UK. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rep. Of Ireland
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Rep. Of Ireland’s resultsAustria
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Austria’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rep. Of Ireland
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
IsraelAway · UEFA Nations League3–0KosovoAway · UEFA Nations League0–1CanadaAway · Friendlies1–1QatarHome · Friendlies1–0GrenadaHome · Friendlies5–0Czech RepublicAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–2HungaryAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–2PortugalHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0ArmeniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0PortugalAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1
Austria
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
KosovoHome · UEFA Nations League3–1IsraelHome · UEFA Nations League3–1SpainAway · World Cup0–3AlgeriaAway · World Cup3–3ArgentinaAway · World Cup0–2JordanHome · World Cup3–1TunisiaHome · Friendlies1–0GhanaHome · Friendlies5–1Bosnia & HerzegovinaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1CyprusAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rep. Of Ireland at home with Austria away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 1 Oct, 23:29 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Nations League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Rep. Of IrelandAustria
2Matches played2
3Points earned6
1Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match3.0
0.5Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rep. Of Ireland at home with Austria away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Rep. Of Ireland
1wins2MEETINGS
Austria
0winsNov 2016 – Jun 2017 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
Rep. Of Ireland
Most-used league formation3-4-2-11 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Austria
Most-used league formation4-2-3-12 matches this season
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Nations League table
Current standings · League B - Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | DWW |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | DWL |
| 4 |  Israel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Rep. Of Ireland | Draw | Austria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69 | 3.19 | 2.23 |
| SBO | 3.32 | 3.09 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.15 |
Snapshot from 1 Oct 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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