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Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland match centre

Aarhus badgeAarhusHome · 1 in league
WDDDW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
FC Nordsjaelland badgeFC NordsjaellandAway · 3 in league
DLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising73/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Tingager82′
J. Lahteenmaki9′
Vejlby Stadion · AarhusSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate4.6%Aarhus
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate2.9%FC Nordsjaelland
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Aarhus 4.7% · no further goal 92.3% · FC Nordsjaelland 3.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AarhusFC Nordsjaelland
4Corner Kicks1
6Fouls14
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves8
515Total passes346
442Passes accurate280

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Superliga , Championship Round

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Aarhus33+3068—
2FC Midtjylland32+3660—
3FC Nordsjaelland33+551—
4Brondby32+945—
5Viborg32-244—
6Sonderjyske32-544—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Aarhus 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC Nordsjaelland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Aarhus

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Aarhus’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC Nordsjaelland

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect FC Nordsjaelland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aarhus at home with FC Nordsjaelland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 11:55 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Superliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

AarhusFC Nordsjaelland
25Matches played25
55Points earned40
16Wins13
2.0Goals scored / match1.7
1.0Goals conceded / match1.6
7Clean sheets8
2Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aarhus at home with FC Nordsjaelland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Aarhus

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jakob Poulsen
  1. 1J. HansenG
  2. 2F. BeijmoD
  3. 3H. DalsgaardD
  4. 19E. KahlD
  5. 11G. LinksM
  6. 4M. KnudsenM
  7. 17K. YakobM
  8. 39F. EmmeryM
  9. 31T. BechF
  10. 10K. Arnstad
  11. 13J. SerraF
Substitutes (9)

21 · M. Hedenstad

9 · P. Mortensen

40 · J. Jensen-Abbew

26 · J. Andersen

5 · F. Tingager

14 · T. Molgaard

8 · S. Jorgensen

57 · J. Bogere

20 · T. Kristjansson

FC Nordsjaelland

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Jens Olsen
  1. 13A. HansenG
  2. 2P. AnkersenD
  3. 3T. SalquistD
  4. 36C. YirenkyiD
  5. 25J. LahteenmakiM
  6. 18J. JanssenM
  7. 47M. HeydeM
  8. 23R. NorheimM
  9. 37L. SadioF
  10. 14I. AdelF
  11. 11A. LindF
Substitutes (9)

22 · A. Gulstorff Pedersen

32 · V. Gustafsen

40 · H. Rasmussen

29 · V. Berthelsen

6 · M. Brink

45 · N. Markmann

15 · S. Acquah

17 · L. Nene

10 · P. Amoako

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Aarhus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jesper Hansen906.2—0—29—
Felix Beijmo907.5—12692
Henrik Dalsgaard827.3—0—861
Eric Kahl907.2—01983
Gift Links908.0—02544
Magnus Knudsen907.0—0—453
Kevin Yakob736.3—03482
Frederik Emmery826.3—0122—
Tobias Bech827.0—01293
Kristian Arnstad907.7—01481
Janni Serra626.9—0210—
Patrick Mortensen286.5—0311
Sebastian Jørgensen176.6—0141
James Bogere86.2—0—1—
Jacob Andersen86.6—0—6—
Frederik Tingager87.710211—
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson———————
Tobias Mølgaard———————
Jonas Jensen-Abbew———————
Mads Hedenstad———————

FC Nordsjaelland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andreas Hansen908.2—0—45—
Peter Ankersen627.3—01341
Tobias Salquist907.5—0—433
Caleb Yirenkyi906.6—0—503
Juho Lähteenmäki778.3102214
Justin Janssen906.5—0—471
Malte Heyde776.5—0—301
Runar Norheim906.9—0—223
Lamine Sadio906.7—11221
Ibrahim Adel456.3—0—123
Alexander Lind Rasmussen626.5—0—12—
Prince Amoako Junior456.3—0—9—
Noah Markmann286.2—0—9—
Levy Nene286.3—012—
Victor Gustafsen136.3—0—2—
Mark Brink136.5—0—5—
Andreas Gülstorff———————
Stephen Acquah———————
Villum Berthelsen———————
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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