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Nova Iguaçu vs Fortaleza EC match centre

Nova Iguaçu badgeNova IguaçuHome
DDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECAway
WWDDW
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Vitinho45+6′
Estadio Janio Moraes · Rio de JaneiroSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Nova Iguaçu
Draw2.1%at full time
Current result estimate97.8%Fortaleza EC
Another goal7.4%before full time

Next goal: Nova Iguaçu 2.2% · no further goal 92.6% · Fortaleza EC 5.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Nova IguaçuFortaleza EC
1Corner Kicks2
17Fouls15
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
579Total passes347
519Passes accurate277

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 64Nova Iguaçu 0–1 Fortaleza EC
Current progressionFortaleza EC
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Nova Iguaçu 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Fortaleza EC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Nova Iguaçu

2/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Nova Iguaçu’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Fortaleza EC

6/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Fortaleza EC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nova Iguaçu at home with Fortaleza EC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Copa Do Brasil · 2026/27 · all league matches

Nova IguaçuFortaleza EC
2Matches played2
6Points earned6
2Wins2
3.0Goals scored / match2.5
0.5Goals conceded / match1.5
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nova Iguaçu at home with Fortaleza EC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Nova Iguaçu

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vitor Carlos
  1. 31MotaG
  2. 4Yan SilvaD
  3. 2Davi SoaresD
  4. 6Guilherme KayronD
  5. 3WenderD
  6. 8Leo RafaelM
  7. 5Jorge PedraM
  8. 7XandinhoM
  9. 10Lucas CruzM
  10. 11Iago LacerdaM
  11. 9Vini CharopemF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Matheus Miranda

13 · Arthur Neves

18 · Weverton

17 · Ze Gabriel

22 · Luan Capanni

15 · Pedro Thomaz

23 · Leo David

19 · Alexandre Balbino

21 · Joao Pedro

20 · Rickelme Lopes

14 · Augusto

16 · Daniel Zavoli

Fortaleza EC

Confirmed formation4-4-2Carpini Thiago
  1. 12BrennoG
  2. 22MailtonD
  3. 2E. BritezD
  4. 3GazalD
  5. 18G. FuentesD
  6. 11VitinhoM
  7. 5PierreM
  8. 88Lucas SashaM
  9. 77Paulo BayaM
  10. 32Luiz FernandoF
  11. 7T. PochettinoF
Substitutes (12)

25 · Vinicius Silvestre

10 · Lucas Crispim

4 · Luan Freitas

29 · Rodrigo

8 · Ronald

37 · Ryan

75 · Rodriguinho

38 · Lucca Prior

31 · Welliton

9 · J. B. Miritello

19 · Luquinhas

33 · K. Rocha

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Nova Iguaçu

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mota906.9—0—24—
Yan Silva906.0—0—50—
Davi906.3—0—78—
Guilherme Kayron906.2—0—95—
Wender786.9—01531
Léo Rafael897.5—0—641
Jorge Pedra787.3—0—785
Xandinho906.2—0118—
Lucas Cruz906.9—0—491
Iago666.6—01342
Vinicius Charopem666.2—0112—
Weverton de Souza Santos246.5—0—2—
Leonardo David246.5—0—6—
Arthur Neves126.7—0—9—
Rickelme Lopes126.7—0—1—
Pedro Thomaz Menta de Souza16.3—0—6—
Matheus Miranda———————
Augusto———————
Zé Gabriel———————
Daniel Zavoli———————
João Pedro———————
Alexandre Balbino———————
Luan Capanni———————

Fortaleza EC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Brenno907.0—0—20—
Maílton907.2—01391
Emanuel Brítez907.5—0—44—
Lucas Gazal906.9—0—461
Gabriel Fuentes907.0—0—292
Vitinho457.3101161
Pierre456.7—0—151
Lucas Sasha906.3—0—381
Paulo Baya587.0—0116—
Luiz Fernando816.5—01122
Tomás Pochettino816.9—0—203
Rodrigo Santos457.0—0—194
Juan Miritello456.3—01111
Welliton326.9—0—93
Lucas Crispim96.7—0—6—
Lucca Prior96.3—0—71
Vinicius Silvestre———————
Kauã Rocha———————
Luan Freitas———————
Ronald———————
Lucas Emanoel———————
Ryan Gustavo———————
Rodriguinho———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Copa Do Brasil table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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