Santa Fe
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Santa Fe’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRESanta Fe vs Penarol match centre
88′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Olivera20′
M. Arezo59′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
88′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.4%Santa Fe
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.1%Penarol
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Santa Fe 3.5% · no further goal 92.3% · Penarol 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Santa FePenarol
0.930Expected goals · API-Football1.180
2Shots on target6
15Total Shots15
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks4
16Fouls5
4Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
365Total passes292
272Passes accurate217
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group EProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Corinthians | 6 | +4 | 11 | — |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 7 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 4 |  Penarol | 7 | -4 | 4 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Santa Fe 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Penarol 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Penarol
7/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Penarol’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Santa Fe
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LlanerosHome · Primera A0–1BucaramangaAway · Primera A2–1Independiente MedellinHome · Primera A2–1Deportivo CaliAway · Primera A1–1Alianza ValleduparHome · Primera A1–1JuniorHome · Primera A2–1JaguaresAway · Primera A1–3America de CaliAway · Primera A0–1Atletico NacionalHome · Primera A1–2ChicoAway · Primera A1–0
Penarol
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ProgresoAway · Primera División - Apertura2–0Racing MontevideoHome · Primera División - Apertura1–2Boston RiverAway · Primera División - Apertura2–0CerroHome · Primera División - Apertura3–1Albion FCAway · Primera División - Apertura1–0DanubioHome · Primera División - Apertura1–1Club NacionalAway · Primera División - Apertura1–0Deportivo MaldonadoHome · Primera División - Apertura2–1Central EspanolAway · Primera División - Apertura1–2Atletico TorqueHome · Primera División - Apertura3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Santa Fe at home with Penarol away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
Santa FePenarol
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Santa Fe at home with Penarol away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Santa Fe
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jose Lopez Fierro
- 1
A. MosqueraG - 13
H. PalaciosD - 18
E. OliveraD - 3
V. MorenoD - 32
C. MaflaD - 16
D. TorresM - 7
J. TorresM - 14
L. PalaciosM - 20
Y. VelasquezM - 8
O. FernandezM - 11
H. RodallegaF
Substitutes (12)
12 · W. Asprilla
33 · C. Nemocon
10 · A. Zapata
24 · J. Angulo
15 · I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
19 · N. Bustos
22 · E. Mosquera
9 · F. Fagundez
6 · K. D. Toscano Bassa
2 · Juan Quintero
77 · J. Obrian
17 · M. Lovera
Penarol
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Diego Aguirre
- 1
S. BritosG - 2
F. EscobarD - 3
M. LemosD - 6
L. FerreiraD - 15
M. OliveraD - 21
Jesus TrindadeM - 5
E. RemediM - 77
L. AnguloM - 10
L. FernandezM - 8
N. FernandezM - 19
M. ArezoF
Substitutes (12)
12 · P. Da Costa
31 · L. Diaz
23 · G. Togni
9 · F. Batista
25 · M. Gonzalez
13 · E. Darias
80 · F. Gonzalez
30 · S. Muhlethaler
32 · L. Umpierrez
26 · A. Madruga
18 · G. Barbas
14 · K. Rodriguez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Santa Fe
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Emanuel Olivera | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 41 | — |
| Victor Moreno | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 2 |
| Christian Mafla | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 29 | 2 |
| Daniel Torres | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Jhojan Torres | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Luis Palacios | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1 |
| Yilmar Velázquez | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Omar Fernández | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Hugo Rodallega | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | 26 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Alexis Zapata | 46 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Weibmar Asprilla | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Kilian Toscano | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Franco Fagúndez | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Carlos Nemocón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Quintero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Bustos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edwin Mosquera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Penarol
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Britos | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Franco Escobar | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Mauricio Lemos | 77 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 4 | 27 | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Maximiliano Olivera | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Jesús Trindade | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 3 |
| Eric Remedi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Luis Miguel Angulo | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Leonardo Fernández | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Matías Arezo | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | — |
| Eduardo Darias | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Facundo Batista | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gastón Togni | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Franco González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| German Barbas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Madruga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Da Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stiven Muhlethaler | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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