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UCV vs Libertad Asuncion match centre

UCV badgeUCVHome · 3 in league
WDLLW
Momentum→ Steady46/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Libertad Asuncion badgeLibertad AsuncionAway · 4 in league
WLLWL
Momentum→ Steady37/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Cuesta30′
Y. Murillo88′
F. Sole90+5′ (pen)
L. Melgarejo61′
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV · CaracasSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%UCV
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Libertad Asuncion
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: UCV 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Libertad Asuncion 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
UCVLibertad Asuncion
1Corner Kicks4
7Fouls6
4Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves3
334Total passes472
260Passes accurate393

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Group H

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Rosario Central6+813↑ 1
2Independiente del Valle6+513↓ 1
3UCV7-212—
4Libertad Asuncion7-110—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

UCV 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Libertad Asuncion 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

UCV

7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect UCV’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Libertad Asuncion

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Libertad Asuncion’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

UCV

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Libertad Asuncion

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare UCV at home with Libertad Asuncion away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches

UCVLibertad Asuncion
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares UCV at home with Libertad Asuncion away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

UCV

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ignacio Sasso Pacheco Daniel
  1. 13G. SchiavoneG
  2. 2K. SilvaD
  3. 5L. Martinez
  4. 19A. SimarraD
  5. 27D. CarrilloD
  6. 30A. GonzalezM
  7. 6F. SoleM
  8. 10S. SosaM
  9. 8J. ZapataM
  10. 7J. CuestaM
  11. 11J. BolivarF
Substitutes (12)

1 · L. Morales

57 · C. Cermeno

3 · R. Ramirez

4 · W. Velasquez

9 · Y. Murillo

14 · K. Mendoza

47 · A. Granko

21 · C. Ortiz

23 · Y. Hernandez

17 · V. Rodriguez

16 · D. De Sousa

28 · M. Ruiz

Libertad Asuncion

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Francisco Arce
  1. 12R. M. Morinigo AcostaG
  2. 34E. VillalbaD
  3. 31T. FernandezD
  4. 5D. VieraD
  5. 4N. GimenezD
  6. 6A. CampuzanoM
  7. 28M. FernandezM
  8. 21L. SanabriaM
  9. 26H. CaballeroM
  10. 17M. D. Espinoza AcostaM
  11. 10L. MelgarejoF
Substitutes (12)

25 · A. Gonzalez

29 · V. Rojas

8 · F. Carrizo

2 · I. Ramirez

22 · H. Martinez

30 · O. R. Vera

27 · A. Molinas

11 · G. Aguilar

14 · A. Fretes

23 · P. Villalba

32 · S. Delvalle

33 · C. Martinez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

UCV

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Giancarlo Schiavone546.6———17—
Kendrys Silva547.3———182
Adrián Martínez547.0———301
Alfonso Simarra546.9———27—
Daniel Carrillo546.6———92
Alexander Gonzalez546.9———38—
Francisco Solé547.3———413
Samuel Sosa546.6——1171
Juan Camilo Zapata546.7———201
Juan Manuel Cuesta547.21—216—
Jovanny Bolívar546.5——311—
Williams Velásquez———————
Yeiber Murillo———————
Alexander Granko———————
Yanniel Hernandez———————
Maicol Ruiz———————
Daniel De Sousa———————
Lautaro Morales———————
Charlis Ortíz———————
Carlos Cermeño———————
Vicente Rodríguez———————
Ruben Ramirez———————
Kendry Mendoza———————

Libertad Asuncion

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rodrigo Morínigo546.2———20—
Estiven Villalba546.2———30—
Thiago Fernandez546.7———60—
Diego Viera546.7———58—
Néstor Giménez546.5———35—
Álvaro Campuzano546.9——1441
Marcelo Fernandez546.2———9—
Lucas Sanabria546.2——130—
Hernesto Caballero546.2——213—
Matías Espinoza546.2——117—
Lorenzo Melgarejo546.0———15—
Iván Ramírez———————
Alexis Fretes———————
Hugo Martínez———————
Federico Carrizo———————
Ángel González———————
Gustavo Aguilar———————
Cristhian Martínez———————
Santiago Delvalle———————
Pedro Villalba———————
Oscar Acuña———————
Amin Molinas———————
Victor Rojas———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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