Flamengo
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Flamengo’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 2THE MATCH CENTREFlamengo vs Independiente Medellin match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Lucas Paqueta15′
Bruno Henrique45′
G. de Arrascaeta49′
Pedro90+6′
Yony Gonzalez40′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Flamengo
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Independiente Medellin
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Flamengo 4.8% · no further goal 92.0% · Independiente Medellin 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FlamengoIndependiente Medellin
2.920Expected goals · API-Football0.300
9Shots on target1
23Total Shots8
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks2
6Fouls15
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
545Total passes371
495Passes accurate311
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group AProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 7 | +15 | 19 | — |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 7 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | -8 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Flamengo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Independiente Medellin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Independiente Medellin
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Independiente Medellin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Flamengo
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Independiente Medellin
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Atletico NacionalHome · Primera A2–3Estudiantes L.P.Home · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1Once CaldasAway · Primera A1–1America de CaliHome · Primera A2–1Santa FeAway · Primera A1–2JuniorHome · Primera A2–0JaguaresAway · Primera A2–1BucaramangaHome · Primera A1–2LlanerosAway · Primera A2–2Deportivo PereiraHome · Primera A1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Flamengo at home with Independiente Medellin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
FlamengoIndependiente Medellin
1Matches played5
3Points earned9
1Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match1.2
0.0Goals conceded / match0.8
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Flamengo at home with Independiente Medellin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Flamengo
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Leonardo Jardim
- 1
A. RossiG - 22
Emerson RoyalD - 13
DaniloD - 4
Leo PereiraD - 6
Ayrton LucasD - 52
Evertton AraujoM - 20
Lucas PaquetaM - 15
J. CarrascalM - 10
G. de ArrascaetaM - 16
Samuel LinoM - 27
Bruno HenriqueF
Substitutes (12)
42 · A. da Silva Ventura
8 · S. Niguez
26 · Alex Sandro
2 · G. Varela
7 · Luiz Araujo
9 · Pedro
44 · Vitao
19 · G. Plata
64 · Wallace Yan
11 · Everton
18 · N. de la Cruz
3 · Leo Ortiz
Independiente Medellin
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alejandro Restrepo
- 25
E. ChauxG - 2
L. ChaverraD - 24
J. OrtizD - 33
D. LondonoD - 18
F. FabraD - 26
E. Mena PereaM - 14
B. PerlazaM - 8
A. SernaM - 11
Yony GonzalezM - 13
F. ChaverraF - 19
F. FydriszewskiF
Substitutes (12)
1 · S. Ichazo
10 · D. Catano
3 · M. Balanta
31 · D. Moreno
30 · H. Palacios
5 · L. Escorcia
88 · J. Viveros
20 · J. Montano
23 · M. Palacios
16 · H. Loboa
21 · J. Mena
45 · A. Valdelamar
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Flamengo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Rossi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Emerson Royal | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Danilo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 1 |
| Leo Pereira | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 73 | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 47 | 3 |
| Evertton Araujo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Lucas Paquetá | 77 | 9.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 3 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 28 | 2 |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta | 63 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 1 |
| Samuel Lino | 63 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Bruno Henrique | 77 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | 27 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Luiz Araújo | 27 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Nicolás de la Cruz | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Pedro | 13 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Wallace Yan | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Andrew | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Ortiz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sandro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitão | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saul Niguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Independiente Medellin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eder Chaux | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Léyser Chaverra | 86 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| José Ortiz | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Daniel Londoño | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Frank Fabra | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Esneyder Mena | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Baldomero Perlaza | 68 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Alexis Serna | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 4 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | — |
| Francisco Chaverra | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 19 | — |
| Francisco Fydriszewski | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Hayen Palacios | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Daniel Cataño | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Halam Loboa | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| John Edwin Montaño | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Diego Moreno | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Salvador Ichazo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Balanta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Escorcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Málcom Palacios | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhan Mena | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Valdelamar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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