Cerro Porteno
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cerro Porteno’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRECerro Porteno vs Palmeiras match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Carlos Miguel72′ (og)
J. Arias33′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.4%Cerro Porteno
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.1%Palmeiras
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Cerro Porteno 3.5% · no further goal 92.3% · Palmeiras 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
0.490Expected goals · API-Football2.770
3Shots on target5
8Total Shots12
34%Ball Possession66%
3Corner Kicks4
16Fouls11
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
281Total passes554
194Passes accurate465
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group FProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | +4 | 14 | — |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 7 | +5 | 12 | — |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | -3 | 6 | — |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Cerro Porteno 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Palmeiras 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Palmeiras
8/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Palmeiras’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Cerro Porteno
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sportivo AmelianoHome · Division Profesional - Apertura1–1JuniorHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–0Nacional AsuncionAway · Division Profesional - Apertura0–0Sporting CristalAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–12 de MayoHome · Division Profesional - Apertura3–0Club Sp. San LorenzoHome · Division Profesional - Apertura2–0Libertad AsuncionAway · Division Profesional - Apertura3–2Rubio NUAway · Division Profesional - Apertura0–2Sportivo TrinidenseHome · Division Profesional - Apertura2–1Club GuaraniAway · Division Profesional - Apertura2–0
Palmeiras
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RB BragantinoAway · Serie A1–0JacuipenseHome · Copa Do Brasil3–0Atletico ParanaenseHome · Serie A1–0Sporting CristalHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores2–1CorinthiansAway · Serie A0–0JuniorAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1BahiaAway · Serie A2–1GremioHome · Serie A2–1BotafogoHome · Serie A2–1MirassolHome · Serie A1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cerro Porteno at home with Palmeiras away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
2Matches played2
3Points earned4
1Wins1
0.5Goals scored / match1.5
0.5Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cerro Porteno at home with Palmeiras away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Cerro Porteno
Confirmed formation5-3-2Jorge Achucarro
- 1
A. MartinG - 33
R. GomezD - 14
L. A. Quintana RodriguezD - 23
G. VelazquezD - 22
M. PerezD - 35
M. ChaparroD - 2
F. DominguezM - 5
J. MorelM - 20
W. VieraM - 27
J. TorresF - 19
P. VegettiF
Substitutes (12)
25 · R. Fernandez
11 · J. Iturbe
9 · L. Amarilla
13 · A. G. Benitez
24 · E. Paez
32 · C. Bobadilla
38 · A. Cristaldo
8 · C. Paredes
40 · M. Klimowicz
16 · F. Peralta
18 · R. Melgarejo
28 · C. Franco
Palmeiras
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Ferreira Abel
- 1
Carlos MiguelG - 4
A. GiayD - 15
G. GomezD - 26
MuriloD - 56
Arthur GabrielD - 17
Marlon FreitasM - 8
Andreas PereiraM - 40
Allan EliasM - 11
J. AriasM - 42
J. LopezF - 19
R. SosaF
Substitutes (12)
14 · Marcelo Lomba
7 · Felipe Anderson
3 · Bruno Fuchs
18 · Mauricio
32 · E. Martinez
50 · Luis Pacheco
30 · Lucas Evangelista
12 · Khellven
6 · Jefte
31 · Luighi
43 · Benedetti
48 · Larson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Cerro Porteno
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | 95 | 9.2 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Rodrigo Gómez | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Lucas Quintana | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 23 | 3 |
| Gustavo Velázquez | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 20 | 3 |
| Matías Pérez | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Marcelo Chaparro | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 20 | 3 |
| Fabricio Domínguez | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 22 | 5 |
| Jorge Morel | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 41 | 3 |
| Wílder Viera | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 7 | 3 |
| Jonatan Torres | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Pablo Vegetti | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 24 | 1 |
| Mateo Klimowicz | 50 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Juan Iturbe | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Fabrizio Peralta | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Melgarejo | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Cesar Bobadilla | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amín Cristaldo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Paredes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Franco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Amarilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edgar Raul Paez Torales | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Agustín Giay | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 1 |
| Gustavo Gómez | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 80 | — |
| Murilo | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 1 |
| Arthur Gabriel | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 5 |
| Marlon Freitas | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 86 | 1 |
| Andreas Pereira | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 71 | — |
| Allan | 88 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Jhon Arias | 84 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | — |
| José López | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 2 |
| Ramón Sosa | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 25 | — |
| Mauricio | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — |
| Khellven | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | 11 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Jefté | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Felipe Anderson | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Benedetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Pacheco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Larson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Cerro Porteno | Draw | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
Snapshot from 29 Apr 2026, 21:51 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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