Deportes Tolima
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Deportes Tolima’s results
CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup Stage - 4THE MATCH CENTREDeportes Tolima vs Club Nacional match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Sandoval45+7′ (pen)
J. Mosquera78′
J. Gonzalez89′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Deportes Tolima
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Club Nacional
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Deportes Tolima 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Club Nacional 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Deportes TolimaClub Nacional
3.360Expected goals · API-Football0.310
9Shots on target2
19Total Shots7
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks3
3Fouls5
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
455Total passes257
373Passes accurate166
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group BProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | +4 | 11 | ↑ 1 |
| 2 |  Coquimbo Unido | 6 | +2 | 10 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 7 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 4 |  Universitario | 6 | -1 | 6 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Deportes Tolima 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Club Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Club Nacional
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Club Nacional’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Deportes Tolima
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Deportivo CaliHome · Primera A1–1Coquimbo UnidoHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores3–0MillonariosAway · Primera A0–2Deportivo PereiraHome · Primera A2–0Club NacionalAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–3Deportivo PastoAway · Primera A0–1UniversitarioHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores0–0Ãguilas DoradasHome · Primera A4–1JaguaresHome · Primera A3–1ChicoAway · Primera A1–1
Club Nacional
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Albion FCAway · Primera División - Apertura2–3UniversitarioAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores2–4DanubioHome · Primera División - Apertura1–2Liverpool MontevideoAway · Primera División - Apertura3–1Deportes TolimaHome · CONMEBOL Libertadores3–1Deportivo MaldonadoAway · Primera División - Apertura2–4Coquimbo UnidoAway · CONMEBOL Libertadores1–1Central EspanolHome · Primera División - Apertura0–1Atletico TorqueAway · Primera División - Apertura3–2Cerro LargoHome · Primera División - Apertura3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Deportes Tolima at home with Club Nacional away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches
Deportes TolimaClub Nacional
7Matches played2
11Points earned4
3Wins1
1.2Goals scored / match2.0
0.7Goals conceded / match1.0
4Clean sheets0
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Deportes Tolima at home with Club Nacional away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Deportes Tolima
0wins1MEETINGS
Club Nacional
1winsApr 2026 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Deportes Tolima first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Deportes Tolima
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Lucas Gonzalez
- 1
Neto VolpiG - 3
J. AnguloD - 2
A. AnguloD - 17
C. ArrietaD - 28
E. LopezM - 80
B. RoviraM - 32
S. GuzmanM - 18
K. FlorezM - 10
J. P. Torres PatinoF - 24
A. Parra OsorioF - 9
L. SandovalF
Substitutes (12)
22 · L. Marquinez
20 · J. Hernandez
7 · J. Gonzalez
4 · D. Pedrozo
15 · J. Nieto
8 · E. Valencia
11 · J. Valencia
33 · J. Mosquera
6 · C. Trujillo
30 · S. P. Barbosa Gomez
31 · Y. Moreno
29 · N. Sanchez
Club Nacional
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jorge Bava
- 1
L. MejiaG - 13
E. AnchetaD - 4
S. CoatesD - 2
A. RogelD - 21
C. CandidoD - 10
A. dos Santos - 6
L. BoggioM - 30
B. BarciaM - 14
N. LodeiroM - 20
G. CarneiroM - 9
M. GomezF
Substitutes (12)
25 · I. Suarez
8 · M. Vera
15 · P. Calione
77 · N. Rodriguez
27 · T. Veron
11 · M. Silvera
19 · J. De Los Santos
56 · J. I. Garcia Lantean
32 · T. Viera
18 · P. Nunez
39 · L. Gonzalez
31 · R. Martinez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Deportes Tolima
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jan Ángulo | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Anderson Angulo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Cristian Arrieta | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 5 |
| Edwar López | 74 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Brayan Rovira | 74 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 51 | 2 |
| Sebastián Guzmán | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 75 | 2 |
| Kelvin Florez | 81 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Juan Torres | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 46 | 1 |
| Adrián Parra | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Luis Sandoval | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | 16 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Cristian Trujillo | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Jersson González | 16 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Jader Valencia | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Luis Marquinez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neifer Sanchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoimar Moreno | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Club Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Mejía | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Emiliano Ancheta | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 5 |
| Sebastián Coates | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Agustín Rogel | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Camilo Cándido | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Agustín Dos Santos | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | — |
| Luciano Boggio | 88 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Baltasar Barcia | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Nicolás Lodeiro | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 4 |
| Gonzalo Carneiro | 70 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Maximiliano Gómez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Maximiliano Silvera | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Tomas Veron Lupi | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Juan De los Santos | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Luciano Gonzalez | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Ignacio Suárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Viera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paolo Calione | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Vera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pável Núñez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Deportes Tolima | Draw | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Snapshot from 6 May 2026, 21:38 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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