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Vasco DA Gama vs Paysandu match centre

Vasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA GamaHome
LDDLW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Paysandu badgePaysanduAway
LDWDW
Momentum↗ Rising59/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Rojas36′ (pen)
Thiago Mendes42′
Thayllon45+2′
A. Saldivia46′ (og)
Estádio São Januário · Rio de JaneiroSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate2.5%Vasco DA Gama
Draw93.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Paysandu
Another goal6.6%before full time

Next goal: Vasco DA Gama 2.5% · no further goal 93.4% · Paysandu 4.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Vasco DA GamaPaysandu
6Corner Kicks4
16Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
386Total passes401
321Passes accurate336

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 32Vasco DA Gama 2–2 Paysandu
Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vasco DA Gama 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Paysandu 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vasco DA Gama

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vasco DA Gama’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Paysandu

6/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Paysandu’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vasco DA Gama at home with Paysandu away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 14:16 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Copa Do Brasil · 2026/27 · all league matches

Vasco DA GamaPaysandu
1Matches played3
3Points earned6
1Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.0Goals conceded / match1.7
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vasco DA Gama at home with Paysandu away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vasco DA Gama

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gaucho Renato
  1. 1Leo JardimG
  2. 96Paulo HenriqueD
  3. 4A. SaldiviaD
  4. 43Lucas FreitasD
  5. 6Lucas PitonD
  6. 88Cauan BarrosM
  7. 23Thiago MendesM
  8. 18M. HinestrozaM
  9. 10J. RojasM
  10. 20BrennerM
  11. 7DavidF
Substitutes (12)

13 · Daniel Fuzato

37 · Pablo

2 · J. Rodriguez

25 · Hugo Moura

28 · Adson

9 · Matheus Franca

3 · Tche Tche

17 · N. Moreira

77 · C. Spinelli

11 · Andres Gomez

98 · JP

64 · Walace Fernandes

Paysandu

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rocha Junior
  1. 12Gabriel Mesquita
  2. 2EdilsonD
  3. 15CastroD
  4. 6LuccaoD
  5. 31F. BonifaziD
  6. 23Brian MacapaM
  7. 8Caio MelloM
  8. 19ThayllonM
  9. 10MarcinhoM
  10. 75Kleiton PegoM
  11. 9Italo CarvalhoF
Substitutes (9)

1 · Marcao

77 · Luciano

4 · larley Brito

99 · Lucas Cardoso

98 · Juninho

5 · Henrico

30 · Thalyson

20 · Matheus Capixaba

25 · Tiago Indio

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Vasco DA Gama

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Léo Jardim906.70——31—
Paulo Henrique516.20—1234
Alan Saldivia905.60——454
Lucas Freitas906.30——431
Lucas Piton906.30——362
Cauan Barros906.90——475
Thiago Mendes907.9104351
Marino Hinestroza618.701—243
Johan Rojas707.71—2303
Brenner616.00—412—
David606.60——19—
Puma Rodríguez396.60—215—
Claudio Spinelli306.30—351
Andrés Gómez296.50——4—
Adson296.70—2141
Nuno Moreira206.60——71
Pablo———————
Daniel Fuzato———————
Walace———————
Tchê Tchê———————
Hugo Moura———————
JP———————
Matheus França———————

Paysandu

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gabriel Mesquita907.70——38—
Edílson Júnior906.50—1521
Castro906.70—1671
Lucca Carvalho575.70——36—
Facundo Bonifazi636.20——172
Brian Wendell Melo de Souza706.50——304
Caio Mello906.9011482
Thayllon637.21—19—
Marcinho907.00—143—
Kleiton906.60——19—
Ítalo706.20—16—
Iarley336.90——24—
Luciano276.60——12—
Thalyson276.90——63
Alvaro Henrico Paiva206.70——9—
Juninho206.20——4—
Marcos Vinicius———————
Lucas Cardoso———————
Tiago Índio———————
Matheus Capixaba———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Copa Do Brasil table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerVasco DA GamaDrawPaysandu
Bet3651.285.2510.00

Snapshot from 12 May 2026, 17:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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