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Juventude vs Sao Paulo match centre

Juventude badgeJuventudeHome
WDWLW
Momentum↘ Falling66/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Sao Paulo badgeSao PauloAway
WLWLW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Gabriel Pinheiro65′
Marcos Paulo73′
Mandaca90+4′
G. Tapia84′
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi · Caxias do SulSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Juventude
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Sao Paulo
Another goal7.6%before full time

Next goal: Juventude 5.7% · no further goal 92.4% · Sao Paulo 2.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
JuventudeSao Paulo
6Corner Kicks3
19Fouls17
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
367Total passes269
322Passes accurate202

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 32Juventude 3–1 Sao Paulo
Current progressionJuventude
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Juventude 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sao Paulo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Juventude

4/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Juventude’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sao Paulo

4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sao Paulo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Juventude at home with Sao Paulo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 5 Oct, 12:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Copa Do Brasil · 2026/27 · all league matches

JuventudeSao Paulo
4Matches played1
9Points earned3
3Wins1
2.5Goals scored / match1.0
0.5Goals conceded / match0.0
2Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Juventude at home with Sao Paulo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Juventude

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Barbieri Mauricio
  1. 12Pedro RochaG
  2. 34Rodrigo SamD
  3. 4MessiasD
  4. 97Gabriel PinheiroD
  5. 22Nathan SantosM
  6. 5Luan MartinsM
  7. 8Lucas MineiroM
  8. 47Marcos PauloM
  9. 75Rai SilvaF
  10. 9Alan KardecF
  11. 10MPF
Substitutes (12)

21 · Ruan Carneiro

3 · Titi

11 · Fabio Lima

44 · Mandaca

27 · Ray Breno

6 · Wadson

17 · M. Castro

25 · Alisson Safira

15 · Leo Indio

53 · Kaynan

29 · C. Junior

79 · Joao Scatolin

Sao Paulo

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Machado Roger
  1. 23RafaelG
  2. 21C. SoaresD
  3. 4Matheus DoriaD
  4. 35SabinoD
  5. 13E. DiazD
  6. 16D. BobadillaM
  7. 94DanielzinhoM
  8. 37ArturM
  9. 10LucianoM
  10. 80CaulyM
  11. 9Jonathan CalleriF
Substitutes (12)

31 · Carlos Coronel

11 · Ferreira

17 · Andre Silva

33 · Luan Silva

30 · Felipe Negrucci

40 · Igor Felisberto

54 · Luis Osorio

46 · Pedro Ferreira

45 · Lucca Marques

18 · Wendell

14 · G. Tapia

48 · Djhordney

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Juventude

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Pedro Rocha566.6———11—
Rodrigo Sam456.9———381
Messias566.6———25—
Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro566.9——1421
Nathan567.2———14—
Luan Martins Gonçalves566.5——226—
Lucas Mineiro566.6———32—
Marcos Paulo566.3———23—
Raí567.3——3242
Alan Kardec567.0——25—
Marcos Paulo566.5——282
Wadson116.7———6—
Ruan Carneiro———————
Titi———————
Ray Breno———————
Kaynan Fragoso Azevedo———————
Índio———————
Fábio Lima———————
Luis Mandaca———————
Manuel Castro———————
Joao Paulo Scatolin———————
Carlinhos———————
Alisson Safira———————

Sao Paulo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rafael567.2———14—
Cédric Soares566.7———211
Dória566.7———241
Sabino566.7———181
Enzo Díaz566.2———173
Damián Bobadilla566.2———321
Danielzinho566.6———211
Artur566.6———15—
Luciano446.3———17—
Cauly456.7———181
Jonathan Calleri566.9———101
Ferreirinha0——0———
Luis Osorio116.9———1—
Carlos Coronel———————
Wendell———————
Igor Felisberto———————
Felipe Negrucci———————
Pedro Ferreira———————
Djhordney Ferreira———————
Lucca———————
Luan Santos———————
Gonzalo Tapia———————
André Silva———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Copa Do Brasil table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerJuventudeDrawSao Paulo
Bet3653.603.202.10

Snapshot from 12 May 2026, 21:11 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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