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Confiança vs Gremio match centre

Confiança badgeConfiançaHome
WLWLD
Momentum↘ Falling43/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London
Gremio badgeGremioAway
LDWLW
Momentum→ Steady51/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Braithwaite14′ (pen)
M. Braithwaite58′
Willian71′ (pen)
Estádio Lourival Baptista · AracajuSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Confiança
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Gremio
Another goal7.1%before full time

Next goal: Confiança 4.6% · no further goal 92.9% · Gremio 2.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
ConfiançaGremio
3Corner Kicks1
14Fouls16
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
484Total passes477
426Passes accurate416

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 32Confiança 0–3 Gremio
Current progressionGremio
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Confiança 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Gremio 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Confiança

2/10Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Confiança’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Gremio

4/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Gremio’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Confiança at home with Gremio away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:16 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Copa Do Brasil · 2026/27 · all league matches

ConfiançaGremio
3Matches played1
6Points earned3
2Wins1
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.7Goals conceded / match0.0
2Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Confiança at home with Gremio away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Confiança

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Claudio Cacapa
  1. 1Rafael PascoalG
  2. 2Valdir JuniorD
  3. 3Lucas CunhaD
  4. 4Eduardo MouraD
  5. 6KelvynD
  6. 5RenilsonM
  7. 9Joao PedroM
  8. 8Gabriel ZecaM
  9. 7Gustavo NicolaM
  10. 11Iago Silva
  11. 10PKF
Substitutes (12)

12 · Joao Fernandes

22 · Weriton

20 · Fabricio Oya

15 · Lorran

17 · Danielzinho

13 · Joao Mandovani

16 · Enzo Rocha

99 · Sassa

19 · Maikon Aquino

18 · Guilherme Nunes

14 · Mateus Ludke

21 · Andrey Quintino

Gremio

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Luis Castro
  1. 1WevertonG
  2. 7C. PavonD
  3. 6Gustavo MartinsD
  4. 44VieryD
  5. 38Caio PaulistaD
  6. 19E. NoriegaM
  7. 39TiagoM
  8. 99J. EnamoradoM
  9. 37Gabriel MecM
  10. 9F. AmuzuM
  11. 22M. BraithwaiteF
Substitutes (12)

24 · Thiago Beltrame

10 · Willian

14 · Marcos Rocha

2 · Fabian Balbuena

95 · Carlos Vinicius

21 · Tete

4 · Walter Kannemann

11 · M. Monsalve

77 · Andre Henrique

33 · L. Perez

50 · Bernardo Zortea

32 · V. Ramon

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Confiança

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rafael Pascoal517.0———14—
Valdir515.6——127—
Lucas Cunha516.7——129—
Eduardo516.3———321
Kelvyn516.3———401
Renilson516.3———241
João Pedro Jotta516.2——322—
Gabriel Souza456.6——1282
Gustavo Nicola456.9———342
Iago516.9———312
Patrick516.3———17—
Danielzinho6————3—
Guilherme Nunes6————12—
João Fernandes———————
Weriton Luiz Gutierre———————
Mateus Ludke———————
Enzo Rocha Bonifacio———————
Lorran———————
Fabrício Oya———————
Sassá———————
Maikon Aquino———————
Andrey Quintino———————
Mandovani———————

Gremio

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Weverton516.3———17—
Cristian Pavón516.9———243
Gustavo Martins477.3———41—
Viery517.3———472
Caio Paulista516.9———231
Erick Noriega516.7———312
Tiaguinho516.9———331
José Enamorado456.3——112—
Gabriel Mec456.5——26—
Francis Amuzu516.9——214—
Martin Braithwaite517.21—112—
Fabián Balbuena-2————4—
Walter Kannemann6——————
Willian6————4—
Tetê6——————
Thiago Beltrame———————
Vitor Ramon———————
Marcos Rocha———————
Leonel Pérez———————
Miguel Monsalve———————
Zortéa———————
Carlos Vinícius———————
André Henrique———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Copa Do Brasil table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerConfiançaDrawGremio
Bet3655.753.601.62

Snapshot from 13 May 2026, 21:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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