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Atletico-MG vs Ceara match centre

Atletico-MG badgeAtletico-MGHome
WLWWL
Momentum→ Steady57/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Ceara badgeCearaAway
LDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising74/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Cassierra44′
R. Lodi73′
Wendel Silva65′
Arena MRV · Belo HorizonteSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.7%Atletico-MG
Draw3.2%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Ceara
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Atletico-MG 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Ceara 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Atletico-MGCeara
11Corner Kicks0
12Fouls13
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves8
535Total passes379
465Passes accurate323

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 32Atletico-MG 2–1 Ceara
Current progressionAtletico-MG
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atletico-MG 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ceara 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Atletico-MG

5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atletico-MG’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ceara

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Ceara’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico-MG at home with Ceara away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:42 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Copa Do Brasil · 2026/27 · all league matches

Atletico-MGCeara
0Matches played3
0Points earned9
0Wins3
—Goals scored / match1.3
—Goals conceded / match0.3
0Clean sheets2
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico-MG at home with Ceara away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atletico-MG

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Eduardo Dominguez
  1. 22EversonG
  2. 23A. PreciadoD
  3. 4Ruan TressoldiD
  4. 14Vitor HugoD
  5. 16R. LodiD
  6. 21A. FrancoM
  7. 8MayconM
  8. 30Victor HugoM
  9. 11BernardM
  10. 92DuduM
  11. 9M. CassierraF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Gabriel Delfim

7 · Hulk

6 · J. Alonso

5 · Alexsander

3 · I. Roman

10 · Gustavo Scarpa

13 · Lyanco

17 · Igor Gomes

28 · Cuello

27 · A. Minda

25 · T. Perez

36 · K. Pascini

Ceara

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1RichardG
  2. 21Alex SilvaD
  3. 33EderD
  4. 4Luiz OtavioD
  5. 17FernandoD
  6. 20DiegoM
  7. 18Julio CesarM
  8. 7Pedro HenriqueM
  9. 10Juan AlanoM
  10. 30Gustavo PradoM
  11. 9Wendel SilvaF
Substitutes (12)

94 · Bruno Ferreira

2 · R. Ramos

12 · Sanchez

11 · Fernandinho

35 · Giulio

40 · Melk

26 · Richardson

29 · Vina

31 · Lucas Lima

8 · Matheus Araujo

63 · Gilmar

81 · Joao Gabriel

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atletico-MG

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Everson687.0———18—
Ángelo Preciado686.3———461
Ruan686.2———38—
Vitor Hugo686.7———48—
Renan Lodi686.6——1551
Alan Franco686.9——125—
Maycon617.2——3571
Victor Hugo686.6——4391
Bernard687.3——1261
Dudu686.6——130—
Mateo Cassierra618.01—2171
Alexsander7————4—
Hulk7————1—
Tomás Cuello0——————
Gabriel Delfim———————
Lyanco———————
Junior Alonso———————
Iván Román———————
Kauã Pascini———————
Tomás Pérez———————
Igor Gomes———————
Gustavo Scarpa———————
Alan Minda———————

Ceara

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Richard326.7———16—
Alex Silva686.7———24—
Éder686.5———39—
Luiz Otávio686.9———492
Fernando686.3———411
Dieguinho686.9——1271
Júlio César686.3———131
Pedro Henrique546.3———111
Juan Alano546.7———211
Gustavo Prado686.9——2131
Wendel Silva687.31—110—
Bruno Ferreira367.0———10—
Vina146.3———5—
Fernandinho146.6—1—7—
Pedro Gilmar———————
Rafael Ramos———————
Sánchez———————
Melk———————
Lucas Lima———————
Matheus Araújo———————
Richardson———————
João Gabriel———————
Giulio———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Copa Do Brasil table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAtletico-MGDrawCeara
Bet3651.534.106.00

Snapshot from 22 Apr 2026, 19:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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