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World CupGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTRE

Senegal vs Iraq match centre

Senegal badgeSenegalHome · 3 in league
WLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling21/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
Iraq badgeIraqAway · 4 in league
WDLLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Diarra4′
I. Sarr56′
P. Gueye59′
P. Gueye71′
I. Ndiaye82′
BMO Field · TorontoSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
SenegalIraq
12Corner Kicks3
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
574Total passes262
505Passes accurate183

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Senegal 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Iraq 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Senegal

5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Senegal’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Iraq

3/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Iraq’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Senegal at home with Iraq away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches

SenegalIraq
1Matches played1
0Points earned0
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match1.0
3.0Goals conceded / match4.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Senegal at home with Iraq away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Senegal

Confirmed formation4-3-3Bouna Thiaw Pape
  1. 23M. DiawG
  2. 15K. DiattaD
  3. 4A. SeckD
  4. 19M. NiakhateD
  5. 14I. JakobsD
  6. 21H. DiarraM
  7. 5I. GueyeM
  8. 8L. CamaraM
  9. 20I. MbayeF
  10. 18I. SarrF
  11. 10S. ManeF
Substitutes (14)

1 · Y. Diouf

3 · K. Koulibaly

11 · N. Jackson

9 · B. Dieng

24 · A. Mendy

2 · M. Sarr

7 · A. Diao

12 · C. Ndiaye

26 · P. Gueye

6 · P. Ciss

13 · I. Ndiaye

17 · P. M. Sarr

25 · M. Diouf

22 · B. Sapoko Ndiaye

Iraq

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Graham Arnold
  1. 22A. BasilG
  2. 26F. PutrosD
  3. 2R. SulakaD
  4. 5A. HashemD
  5. 23M. DoskiD
  6. 14Z. IqbalM
  7. 16A. Al AmmariM
  8. 11A. QasemM
  9. 17A. JasimM
  10. 8I. BayeshM
  11. 9A. Al HamadiF
Substitutes (15)

12 · J. Hassan

1 · F. Talib

13 · A. Yousif

3 · H. Ali

21 · M. Farji

4 · Z. Tahseen

10 · M. Ali

18 · A. Hussein

19 · K. Yakob

20 · A. Sher

7 · Y. Amyn

15 · A. Maknzi

6 · M. Younis

24 · Z. Ismaeel

25 · M. Saadoon

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Senegal

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mory Diaw977.2———22—
Krépin Diatta977.2——1663
Abdoulaye Seck586.9—1130—
Moussa Niakhaté977.2——172—
Ismail Jakobs976.9——1491
Habib Diarra577.51—2172
Idrissa Gana Gueye978.3——1943
Lamine Camara578.2—1145—
Ibrahim Mbaye576.7———25—
Ismaïla Sarr817.611319—
Sadio Mané976.9——343—
Pape Gueye409.9214481
Iliman Ndiaye408.611222—
Nicolas Jackson407.3——261
Pathé Ismaël Ciss396.6——119—
Assane Diao166.7———131
Yehvann Diouf———————
Mamadou Sarr———————
Kalidou Koulibaly———————
Antoine Mendy———————
El Hadji Malick Diouf———————
Pape Matar Sarr———————
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye———————
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng———————
Cherif Ndiaye———————

Iraq

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ahmed Basil456.6———22—
Frans Putros975.6———223
Rebin Sulaka133.0—0—10—
Akam Hashem975.6———251
Merchas Doski975.9———263
Zidane Iqbal676.2———331
Amir Al-Ammari976.3———301
Ahmed Qasem166.2———2—
Ali Jasim586.2——120—
Ibrahim Bayesh976.3———114
Ali Al-Hamadi586.6———71
Munaf Younus815.9———211
Jalal Hassan526.9———13—
Ahmed Hasan Maknazi396.2———63
Ali Yousif396.7———51
Kevin Yakob306.2——1121
Fahad Talib———————
Hussein Ali———————
Zaid Tahseen———————
Mustafa Saadoon———————
Youssef Amyn———————
Aimar Sher———————
Zaid Ismail———————
Marko Farji———————
Mohanad Ali———————
Aymen Hussein———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

World Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1France330010289
LLWWW
2Norway32018716
LWWLW
3Senegal31028623
LWLL
4Iraq3003112-110
LLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerSenegalDrawIraq
Bet3651.226.5013.00

Snapshot from 25 Jun 2026, 20:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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