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Celaya vs Leones Negros match centre

Celaya badgeCelayaHome · 4 in league
WLDLD
Momentum↘ Falling29/100OlderLatest
Full time
5:0
UK time · Europe/London
Leones Negros badgeLeones NegrosAway · 4 in league
WLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising83/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Scorer pending5′
Scorer pending34′
Scorer pending45′
Scorer pending59′
Scorer pending78′
Venue to be confirmed · CelayaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CelayaLeones Negros

The score is available. Detailed match statistics have not been supplied yet.

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Celaya 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Leones Negros 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Celaya

3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Celaya’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Leones Negros

8/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Leones Negros’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Celaya

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Leones Negros

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Celaya at home with Leones Negros away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Premier Serie A · 2025/26 · all league matches

CelayaLeones Negros
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Celaya at home with Leones Negros away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

Celaya

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Leones Negros

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2025/26 STANDINGS

Liga Premier Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Liga Premier Serie A: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Durango26212371165574
WWDWW
2Tigres de Alica26173646252156
WWWDW
3Cimarrones26157446192754
WDWWL
4Leones Negros26162842261653
WWWLW
5Tecos26144849341549
WLDLD
6Tritons Vallarta26151103227546
LWWLD
7Mineros de Fresnillo26114114041-139
LWDWL
8Los Cabos United26113123740-337
LLDDW
9Guerreros2685133842-432
LLWLD
10UA Zacatecas2684143249-1729
WLLWD
11Ensenada2682163055-2528
LLLWL
12Reboceros La Piedad2671183966-2723
WLLLL
13Acatlan2661193973-3421
LLWWL
14Colima2643192452-2817
LWLDL
1Real Apodaca26212347192866
LWWWW
2FC Santiago26147543212251
WDWDW
3Zacatepec 194826128629151445
LWWWD
4Deportivo Zap26116944271744
LWDWW
5Calor de San Pedro26127737261144
WWLWW
6Gavilanes FC Matamoros2612593122944
WLWWL
7Lobos ULMX2611693328540
LWWWL
8Correcaminos UAT II2697102725236
WLDLL
9Chilpancingo269893341-835
WWLDW
10Cordobés2686122930-130
WLDLL
11Zitacuaro26610102231-928
WDLLD
12Sporting Canamy2658133353-2026
LLLLD
13Ciervos2644182050-3018
LLLDL
14Atletico Hidalgo2644182262-4016
LLLLL
1Racing de Veracruz2421305594671
WDWWW
2Deportiva Venados24154561253652
WWWWW
3Tapachula241301151351644
WWWWW
4Celaya24124842321043
DLDLW
5Inter Playa del Carmen2413473528742
WDWLW
6Montañeses24122103528738
LWWLL
7Pioneros de Cancún24103113535035
DDLLW
8Jaguares de Chiapas2494113332134
DDLLL
9Héroes de Zaci24102123346-1334
WWLLW
10Chapulineros2458112133-1223
DDLLL
11Cañoneros Marina2471162549-2422
LWLLW
12Neza2452172573-4819
LLLLL
13Mexicali FC2443172147-2617
LLWLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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