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EredivisieRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Roda vs Waalwijk match centre

Roda badgeRodaHome
DWLWD
Momentum↗ Rising53/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Waalwijk badgeWaalwijkAway
LWDWL
Momentum→ Steady47/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Cleonise51′
Parkstad Limburg Stadion · KerkradeSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Roda
Draw3.3%at full time
Current result estimate96.6%Waalwijk
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Roda 3.4% · no further goal 92.0% · Waalwijk 4.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
RodaWaalwijk
0Corner Kicks8
8Fouls15
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves1
420Total passes356
329Passes accurate288

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 16Roda 0–1 Waalwijk
Current progressionWaalwijk
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Roda 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Waalwijk 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Roda

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Roda’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Waalwijk

6/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Waalwijk’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Roda at home with Waalwijk away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches

RodaWaalwijk
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Roda at home with Waalwijk away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Roda

1wins
1 draw

Waalwijk

2wins

Apr 2019 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Roda first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Roda

Confirmed formation4-3-3Kevin van Dessel
  1. 1Justin TreichelG
  2. 22Jay KruiverD
  3. 3Marco TolD
  4. 33Dario Van Den BuijsD
  5. 5Koen JansenD
  6. 8Joey MullerM
  7. 15Lucas BeertenM
  8. 4Joshua NisbetM
  9. 14Michael BreijF
  10. 9Anthony van den HurkF
  11. 11Iman GriffithF
Substitutes (12)

27 · Tomas Kalinauskas

24 · Jerome Deom

17 · Daniel Kuri

16 · Jack Cooper Love

26 · Reda El Meliani

21 · Ben Zich

2 · Juul Timmermans

7 · Cain Seedorf

6 · Mitchell Paulissen

20 · Ryan Yang Leijten

34 · Luca Maiorano

19 · Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul

Waalwijk

Confirmed formation4-4-2Sander Duits
  1. 1Yanick van OschG
  2. 55Nazjir HeldD
  3. 3Roshon van EijmaD
  4. 4Liam Van GelderenD
  5. 5Juan Familia-CastilloD
  6. 7Denilho CleoniseM
  7. 14Jean-Paul BoetiusM
  8. 35Loek PostmaM
  9. 12Ryan FageM
  10. 20Harrie KusterF
  11. 9Jesper UnekenF
Substitutes (12)

10 · Richard van der Venne

8 · Daniel Van Kaam

11 · Tim van der Leij

6 · Godfried Roemeratoe

30 · Yorem van der Veen

26 · Tom Bramel

16 · Mark Spenkelink

25 · Melle Witteveen

21 · Marcel Schaapman

18 · Rein van Hedel

28 · Quentin van Beekveld

29 · Michiel Kramer

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Roda

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Justin Treichel906.9—0—41—
Jay Kruiver907.2—0—264
Marco Tol907.3—0—535
Dario Van Den Buijs687.3—0—502
Koen Jansen897.5—0—424
Joey Muller746.0—0—14—
Lucas Beerten907.2—0—471
Joshua Nisbet907.0—1—591
Michael Breij676.6—0228—
Anthony van den Hurk906.7—01152
Iman Griffith747.2—02202
Tomas Kalinauskas237.3101111
Jerome Deom226.7—0—18—
Daniel Kuri166.6—0—32
Jack Cooper Love166.3—0—41
Reda El Meliani1——0———
Ben Zich———————
Juul Timmermans———————
Cain Seedorf———————
Mitchell Paulissen———————
Ryan Yang Leijten———————
Luca Maiorano———————
Rasmus Wiedesheim Paul———————

Waalwijk

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yanick van Osch906.6—0—22—
Nazjir Held907.0—01291
Roshon van Eijma907.3—0—392
Liam Van Gelderen907.3—0—442
Juan Familia-Castillo906.9—0143—
Denilho Cleonise846.510116—
Jean-Paul Boetius797.9—01542
Loek Postma907.2—01321
Ryan Fage736.9—02311
Harrie Kuster736.9—0—10—
Jesper Uneken736.3—0113—
Richard van der Venne176.5—0—8—
Daniel Van Kaam176.2—0—6—
Tim van der Leij176.3—019—
Godfried Roemeratoe116.3—0—111
Yorem van der Veen126.7—0—2—
Tom Bramel———————
Mark Spenkelink———————
Melle Witteveen———————
Marcel Schaapman———————
Rein van Hedel———————
Quentin van Beekveld———————
Michiel Kramer———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Eredivisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1PSV Eindhoven33263496445281
WDWWW
2Feyenoord33188768442462
DWWDD
3Twente331513558352358
WDDWW
4NEC Nijmegen331511775522356
LDDDW
5Ajax331413662412155
LDWWL
6AZ Alkmaar33149105548751
DDDWW
7Utrecht331481153421150
WWLWL
8Heerenveen33148115753450
LWWLW
9Groningen33136144744345
WLLDW
10Sparta Rotterdam33127143859-2143
LDLLD
11Fortuna Sittard33116164961-1239
WLLDL
12GO Ahead Eagles33814115351238
LDDDW
13PEC Zwolle33910144469-2537
LWLDL
14Excelsior3398164054-1435
DWWDL
15Telstar33810154754-734
WDWLL
16FC Volendam3388173453-1932
DLWLD
17NAC Breda33610173255-2328
WLLDD
18Heracles3354243483-4919
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerRodaDrawWaalwijk
Bet3652.553.402.62

Snapshot from 28 Apr 2026, 16:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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