De Graafschap
4/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect De Graafschap’s results
EredivisieRelegation RoundTHE MATCH CENTREDe Graafschap vs Almere City FC match centre
Scheduled
19:00
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
De Graafschap 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Almere City FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
A SECOND MODEL VIEW
Pre-match onlyCompare the forecasts
Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.
Kickoff Edge
Our stored model estimate
No valid forecast received yet.
See the match forecast for model details.API-Football
Provider model estimate
Provider forecast under review
Provider percentages are missing or invalid.
Provider team identities do not match this fixture.
Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.
Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.
Awaiting provider forecastProvider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.
FROM OUR STORED RESULTS
Experimental researchKickoff Edge history fallback
The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses De Graafschap’s 18 and Almere City FC’s 18 prior completed games across competitions.
De Graafschap38.1%
Draw23.2%
Almere City FC38.7%
Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Almere City FC
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Almere City FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
De Graafschap
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EmmenAway · Eerste Divisie0–1CambuurHome · Eerste Divisie3–1VVV VenloAway · Eerste Divisie3–3Jong AZHome · Eerste Divisie5–0FC EindhovenAway · Eerste Divisie2–2Willem IIAway · Eerste Divisie2–0ADO Den HaagHome · Eerste Divisie1–2DordrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–1VitesseHome · Eerste Divisie1–4MVVAway · Eerste Divisie3–3
Almere City FC
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Den BoschHome · Eredivisie3–0Den BoschAway · Eredivisie3–2VVV VenloAway · Eerste Divisie1–3DordrechtHome · Eerste Divisie4–1Willem IIAway · Eerste Divisie1–2Den BoschHome · Eerste Divisie1–2FC OSSHome · Eerste Divisie3–2Jong AjaxAway · Eerste Divisie2–0WaalwijkHome · Eerste Divisie2–2VitesseAway · Eerste Divisie3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare De Graafschap at home with Almere City FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 6 Oct, 11:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
De GraafschapAlmere City FC
0Matches played2
0Points earned6
0Wins2
—Goals scored / match3.0
—Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares De Graafschap at home with Almere City FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.
De Graafschap
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Almere City FC
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eredivisie table
Current standings · Eredivisie. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 96 | 44 | 52 | 81 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 62 | DWWDD |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 58 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 52 | 23 | 56 | LDDDW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | LDWWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 51 | DDDWW |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 50 | WWLWL |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 50 | LWWLW |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 | WLLDW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 38 | LDDDW |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 37 | LWLDL |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 35 | DWWDL |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 34 | WDWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 28 | WLLDD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 34 | 83 | -49 | 19 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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