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Jupiler Pro LeagueFinalTHE MATCH CENTRE

Lommel United vs Dender match centre

Lommel United badgeLommel UnitedHome
DDWWL
Momentum→ Steady53/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Dender badgeDenderAway · 4 in league
LDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling12/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Seuntjens55′
R. Seuntjens86′
Z. Vancsa90+6′
D. Acquah34′
M. Berte83′
Soevereinstadion · LommelSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.0%Lommel United
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Dender
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Lommel United 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Dender 4.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Lommel UnitedDender
6Corner Kicks5
6Fouls18
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
463Total passes340
368Passes accurate263

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

FinalLommel United 3–2 Dender
Current progressionLommel United
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Lommel United 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Dender 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Lommel United

5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Lommel United’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Dender

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Dender’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Lommel United

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Dender

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lommel United at home with Dender away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:32 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Jupiler Pro League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Lommel UnitedDender
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lommel United at home with Dender away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Lommel United

Confirmed formation4-4-2Lee Johnson
  1. 23M. PieklakG
  2. 14J. TolinssonD
  3. 13J. A. Banguera RiascosD
  4. 5D. WoutersD
  5. 79S. De GrandD
  6. 9J. van DuivenM
  7. 6J. PelupessyM
  8. 18L. LopezM
  9. 10T. ReynersM
  10. 15L. SchoofsF
  11. 30R. SeuntjensF
Substitutes (9)

1 · N. Ivezic

8 · N. Rommens

3 · T. Eyoma

93 · Z. Vancsa

73 · A. Reumers

11 · R. van Duiven

34 · H. Oware

98 · M. Salah

65 · E. Vandecraen

Dender

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Yannick Ferrera
  1. 93G. GallonG
  2. 5L. MarijnissenD
  3. 44L. De FougerollesD
  4. 7B. GoncalvesD
  5. 70M. SambuM
  6. 18N. RodesM
  7. 24M. ViltardM
  8. 67N. Moutha-SebtaouiM
  9. 23D. AcquahF
  10. 16R. KvetF
  11. 90M. BerteF
Substitutes (9)

34 · M. Verrips

9 · D. Toshevski

6 · B. De Kerf

21 · K. Cools

11 · R. Oratmangoen

77 · B. Nsimba

17 · N. Mbamba

15 · K. Koton

45 · A. Daali

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Lommel United

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matthias Pieklak906.0—0—30—
Jesper Tolinsson816.7—0—52—
Jhon Banguera906.6—02442
Dries Wouters907.5—0—58—
Sam De Grand906.7—0—602
Jason van Duiven536.7—01201
Joey Pelupessy907.3—0—362
Lautaro López546.3—02341
Tom Reyners906.2—0—37—
Lucas Schoofs907.7—01444
Ralf Seuntjens908.720222—
Zalán Vancsa377.310114—
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri367.2—1211—
Timothy Eyoma96.2—0—4—
Nikola Ivezić———————
Henry Oware———————
Emile Vandecraen———————
Nicolas Rommens———————
Alexander Reumers———————
Robin van Duiven———————

Dender

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Gauthier Gallon906.2—0—23—
Luc Marijnissen766.9—0—283
Luc De Fougerolles626.7—0—363
Bryan Goncalves905.9—0—49—
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​906.5—0—331
Nathan Rodes906.5—0334—
Malcolm Viltard906.3—02282
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui617.2—0—251
Desmond Acquah617.9102102
Roman Kvet616.7—0—23—
Mohamed Berte907.311413—
Noah Mbamba296.5—01121
Amine Daali296.9—1193
Ragnar Oratmangoen296.5—0—12—
Bo De Kerf286.2—0—10—
Bruny Nsimba146.3—013—
Michael Verrips———————
Kobe Cools———————
Krzysztof Koton———————
David Toshevski———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Jupiler Pro League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Pro League , Relegation Round. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Zulte Waregem36139145353048
WWWWW
2Cercle Brugge361011155358-541
LLWWW
3RAAL La Louvière36713163550-1534
WLLLL
4Dender36510213162-3125
DLLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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