Monza
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Monza’s results
Serie BSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREMonza vs Juve Stabia match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
P. Cutrone85′
Scorer pending90+6′
R. Burnete90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.6%Monza
Draw3.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Juve Stabia
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Monza 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Juve Stabia 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MonzaJuve Stabia
1.920Expected goals · API-Football0.410
5Shots on target1
13Total Shots6
45%Ball Possession55%
6Corner Kicks2
9Fouls15
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
443Total passes549
361Passes accurate457
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Serie B: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Venezia | 38 | +46 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Frosinone | 38 | +42 | 81 | — |
| 3 | Monza | 39 | +30 | 79 | — |
| 4 |  Palermo | 38 | +28 | 72 | — |
| 5 |  Catanzaro | 38 | +11 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Modena | 38 | +13 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Juve Stabia | 39 | -2 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Avellino | 38 | -12 | 49 | — |
| 9 |  Padova | 38 | -10 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  Cesena | 38 | -11 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Mantova | 38 | -12 | 46 | ↓ 2 |
| 12 |  Carrarese | 38 | -5 | 44 | — |
| 13 |  Sampdoria | 38 | -13 | 44 | — |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 38 | -15 | 42 | — |
| 15 |  Empoli | 38 | -7 | 41 | — |
| 16 |  Sudtirol | 38 | -10 | 41 | — |
| 17 |  Bari | 38 | -22 | 40 | — |
| 18 |  Reggiana | 38 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 19 |  Pescara | 38 | -15 | 35 | ↑ 1 |
| 20 |  Spezia | 38 | -16 | 35 | ↓ 1 |
Semi-finalsMonza 2–1 Juve Stabia
→Current progressionMonza
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Monza 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Juve Stabia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Juve Stabia
2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Juve Stabia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Monza
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Juve Stabia
10 matchesResults2 wins · 6 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monza at home with Juve Stabia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:00 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie B · 2025/26 · all league matches
MonzaJuve Stabia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monza at home with Juve Stabia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Monza
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Paolo Bianco
- 20
D. ThiamG - 19
S. BirindelliD - 15
F. Delli CarriD - 44
A. CarboniD - 24
A. BakouneM - 21
L. ColomboM - 32
M. PessinaM - 7
P. AzziM - 28
A. ColpaniF - 47
D. MotaF - 37
A. PetagnaF
Substitutes (12)
1 · S. Pizzignacco
26 · P. Ciurria
30 · G. Caso
25 · A. Alvarez
8 · Hernani
14 · P. Obiang
10 · P. Cutrone
13 · L. Ravanelli
6 · V. Antov
2 · A. Brorsson
3 · L. Lucchesi
27 · S. Capolupo
Juve Stabia
Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Ignazio Abate
- 1
A. ConfenteG - 6
M. BellichD - 33
A. GiorginiD - 14
C. Dalle MuraD - 24
L. CarissoniM - 98
N. MostiM - 55
G. LeoneM - 29
O. CorreiaM - 77
A. CacciamaniM - 37
F. MaistroF - 90
A. OkoroF
Substitutes (12)
23 · P. Boer
27 · L. Candellone
13 · M. Varnier
28 · E. Torrasi
17 · A. Ciammaglichella
8 · K. Zeroli
9 · A. Gabrielloni
2 · M. Ricciardi
10 · C. Pierobon
7 · R. Burnete
76 · M. Mannini
21 · S. Kassama
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Monza
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demba Thiam | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Samuele Birindelli | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Filippo Delli Carri | 56 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Andrea Carboni | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 2 |
| Adam Bakoune | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Leonardo Colombo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 1 |
| Matteo Pessina | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Paulo Azzi | 84 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 30 | 1 |
| Andrea Colpani | 57 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | — |
| Dany Mota | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Andrea Petagna | 57 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Lorenzo Lucchesi | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Hernani | 33 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Patrick Cutrone | 33 | 8.9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Agustín Álvarez | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 5 | — |
| Luca Ravanelli | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Semuel Pizzignacco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arvid Brorsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Antov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Caso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Capolupo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Ciurria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juve Stabia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandro Confente | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Marco Bellich | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | — |
| Andrea Giorgini | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 120 | 2 |
| Christian Dalle Mura | 81 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 75 | 2 |
| Lorenzo Carissoni | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Nicola Mosti | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Giuseppe Leone | 64 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Omar Correia | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Alessio Cacciamani | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Fabio Maistro | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 3 |
| Alvin Obinna Okoro | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Kevin Zeroli | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Rareș Burnete | 45 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Manuel Ricciardi | 26 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Christian Pierobon | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Alessandro Gabrielloni | 9 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 9 | — |
| Pietro Boer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sheriff Kassama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Varnier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Mannini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuele Torrasi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Ciammaglichella | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Candellone | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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