Gambia
1/4Wins
3.3Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Gambia’s results
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTREGambia vs Somalia match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ebrima Colley18′ (pen)
Muhammed Badammosi83′
Bilal Njie72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated 25 Sep 13:37 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
GambiaSomalia
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target1
11Total Shots6
60%Ball Possession40%
1Corner Kicks3
15Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
419Total passes330
365Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Gambia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Somalia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Somalia
2/6Wins
0.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Somalia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Gambia
4 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game3.3
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 4
Both teams scored3 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Somalia
6 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 6
Both teams scored1 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Gambia at home with Somalia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches
GambiaSomalia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Gambia at home with Somalia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Gambia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Johnny McKinstry
- 18
B. GayeG - 4
A. SaineD - 6
Y. BojangD - 5
O. ColleyD - 3
S. SanyangD - 25
A. BarryM - 2
M. BajoM - 15
J. CeesayM - 19
E. ColleyM - 7
A. FaderaM - 21
Abdoulie CeesayF
Substitutes (12)
95 · E. Adams
96 · A. Yirajang
94 · I. Touray
98 · A. Sanyang
99 · E. Jarju
93 · J. Gomez
91 · Karamba Gassama
90 · M. Drammeh
89 · M. Badamosi
92 · J. Colley
88 · Suleiman Camara
97 · A. Bojang
Somalia
Confirmed formationPendingYusuf Ali Nur
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
2027/28 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table
Current standings · Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 4 |  Ghana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Gambia | Draw | Somalia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 7.80 | 20.50 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13 | 7.29 | 20.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 6.50 | 19.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 7.80 | 20.00 |
Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 13:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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